Background: The incidence of anal squamous cell cancer (SCCA) is rising. While chemoradiotherapy (CRT) provides a chance of cure, a proportion of patients have an incomplete response or develop recurrence. This study assessed the value of inflammationbased prognostic indicators including the modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in patients with SCCA treated by CRT with curative intent. Material and methods: Patients with histologically confirmed SCCA were identified from pathology records. Medical records were retrospectively reviewed and clinical, pathological and treatment characteristics were abstracted. The mGPS (0 = normal CRP and albumin, 1 = CRP >10mg/L and 2 = CRP >10mg/L and albumin <35mg/L) and NLR were calculated from routine blood tests obtained prior to CRT.Results: In total, 118 patients underwent CRT for SCCA between December 2007 and February 2018. Of these, 99 patients had appropriate pre-treatment blood results available. Systemic inflammation as indicated by NLR>3 and mGPS>0 was present in 41% and 39% of patients respectively. Most patients had T2 or larger tumours (n=85, 86%) without nodal involvement (n=64, 65%). An elevated mGPS was associated with more advanced T-stage (56% vs 35%, p=0.036). NLR>5 was associated with nodal positivity (56% vs 31%, p=0.047). On multivariate analysis, more advanced T-stage (OR 7.49, p=0.014) and a raised mGPS (OR 5.13, 95%CI 1.25 -21.14, p=0.024) were independently related to incomplete CRT response. An elevated mGPS was prognostic of inferior survival (HR 3.09, 95% CI 1.47 -6.50, 3 p=0.003) and cancer-specific survival (HR 4.32, p=0.006), independent of TNM stage.
Conclusion:Systemic inflammation, as measured by the mGPS, is associated with incomplete CRT response and is independently prognostic of inferior survival in patients with SCCA. The mGPS may offer a simple marker of inferior outcome which could be used to identify high risk patients.