Carrying out a multi-model integrated assessment of European energy transition pathways: Challenges and benefits

Gardumi, Francesco; Keppo, Ilkka; Howells, Mark; Pye, S.; Avgerinopoulos, Georgios; Lekavičius, Vidas; Galinis, Arvydas; Martišauskas, Linas; Fahl, Ulrich; Korkmaz, Pinar; Schmid, Dorothea; Montenegro, Roland Cunha; Syri, Sanna; Hast, Aira; Mörtberg, Ulla; Balyk, Olexandr; Karlsson, Kenneth Bernard; Pang, Xi; Mozgeris, Gintautas; Trubins, Renats; Jakšić, D.; Turalija, I.M.; Mikulić, M.

doi:10.1016/j.energy.2022.124329

Cited by 11 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 19 publications

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“…Academic research on the energy transition is mainly divided into two parts: one part is quantitative research, which analyzes the influencing factors in the process of the energy transition [10][11][12] and explores the relationship between the energy transition and economic growth [13,14]; the other part is qualitative research, which empirically analyzes the energy transition [15][16][17][18] and explores the path of the energy transition [19][20][21][22][23][24]. Among the methods and models used, in the exploration of energy transition pathways, are the following: the multi-regional, multi-period, infrastructure-based model [20], the multimodel integrated assessment framework [21], the system generalized method of moments model [22], the multi-model comparison method [23], and the multi-sided evolutionary game model [24], etc. Different models have different focuses to address the energy transition pathways in different countries or regions.…”

Section: Literature Review 21 Energy Transition Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Research on the Yellow River Basin Energy Structure Transformation Path under the “Double Carbon” Goal

Liang

Shi

2023

Sustainability

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The clean utilization of traditional energy and renewable, clean energy utilization are the key points of the energy structure transition in the Yellow River Basin. This paper constructs an evolutionary game model, with the participation of local governments and energy companies, to analyze the dynamic evolution of each game subject. The results from the study highlight three important facts about the energy mix transformation in the Yellow River Basin: (1) the high ratio of traditional clean energy utilization and the low ratio of renewable, clean energy utilization align with the actual energy use in the Yellow River Basin, which can better promote the inclusive development of both types of energy; (2) increasing the capacity to utilize both energy sources can improve the energy system resilience gains of game players, for example, at the immature stage of renewable, clean energy utilization technologies, local government’s willingness to subsidize renewable clean energy utilization is positively related to their energy system resilience gains; and (3) under the premise of ensuring the energy supply, the introduction of penalty parameters can ensure a reasonable share of both types of energy utilization, and an increase in the penalty parameters makes the game participants increase their willingness to implement energy structure transformation policies.

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Section: Literature Review 21 Energy Transition Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Research on the Yellow River Basin Energy Structure Transformation Path under the “Double Carbon” Goal

Liang

Shi

2023

Sustainability

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“…Gardumi et al , developed an integrated assessment framework by linking ten models of different kinds, with a pan-European ESOM and a global computable general equilibrium model at the core, linking to models covering local to national aspects of society, environment, and the energy system. The developed framework provides insights beyond the energy system for ecosystems and society across multiple geographic scales, but does not involve any IAMs ( Gardumi et al , 2022 ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Comparing energy system optimization models and integrated assessment models: Relevance for energy policy advice

Henke,

Dekker,

Lombardi

et al. 2024

Open Res Europe

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Background The transition to a climate neutral society such as that envisaged in the European Union Green Deal requires careful and comprehensive planning. Integrated assessment models (IAMs) and energy system optimisation models (ESOMs) are both commonly used for policy advice and in the process of policy design. In Europe, a vast landscape of these models has emerged and both kinds of models have been part of numerous model comparison and model linking exercises. However, IAMs and ESOMs have rarely been compared or linked with one another. Methods This study conducts an explorative comparison and identifies possible flows of information between 11 of the integrated assessment and energy system models in the European Climate and Energy Modelling Forum. The study identifies and compares regional aggregations and commonly reported variables. We define harmonised regions and a subset of shared result variables that enable the comparison of scenario results across the models. Results The results highlight how power generation and demand development are related and driven by regional and sectoral drivers. They also show that demand developments like for hydrogen can be linked with power generation potentials such as onshore wind power. Lastly, the results show that the role of nuclear power is related to the availability of wind resources. Conclusions This comparison and analysis of modelling results across model type boundaries provides modellers and policymakers with a better understanding of how to interpret both IAM and ESOM results. It also highlights the need for community standards for region definitions and information about reported variables to facilitate future comparisons of this kind. The comparison shows that regional aggregations might conceal differences within regions that are potentially of interest for national policy makers thereby indicating a need for national-level analysis.

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Perspectives on purpose-driven coupling of energy system models

Chang

Lund

Thellufsen

et al. 2023

Energy

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Carrying out a multi-model integrated assessment of European energy transition pathways: Challenges and benefits

Cited by 11 publications

References 19 publications

Research on the Yellow River Basin Energy Structure Transformation Path under the “Double Carbon” Goal

Research on the Yellow River Basin Energy Structure Transformation Path under the “Double Carbon” Goal

Comparing energy system optimization models and integrated assessment models: Relevance for energy policy advice

Perspectives on purpose-driven coupling of energy system models

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