Cascading effects of sustained low water on inland shipping

Vinke, Frederik R.S.; Koningsveld, M. van; Dorsser, Cornelis van; Baart, Fedor; Gelder, Pieter van; Vellinga, Tiedo

doi:10.1016/j.crm.2022.100400

Cited by 20 publications

(13 citation statements)

References 9 publications

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“…There is considerable scope to expand on existing studies, in particular to more correctly characterise the vulnerability of IWW systems, as well as developing more accurate models of factors driving the operability of IWW transport associated with extreme low and high flows, and sedimentation (and their links to climate change). Moreover, there is potential for better understanding the dynamic deployment of vessels during periods of high or low flow, which are important for understanding the potential for rerouting of flows to road and rail [42].…”

Section: Inland Water Transportmentioning

confidence: 99%

Quantifying climate risks to infrastructure systems: A comparative review of developments across infrastructure sectors

Verschuur,

Fernández-Pérez,

Mühlhofer

et al. 2024

PLOS Clim

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Infrastructure systems are particularly vulnerable to climate hazards, such as flooding, wildfires, cyclones and temperature fluctuations. Responding to these threats in a proportionate and targeted way requires quantitative analysis of climate risks, which underpins infrastructure resilience and adaptation strategies. The aim of this paper is to review the recent developments in quantitative climate risk analysis for key infrastructure sectors, including water and wastewater, telecommunications, health and education, transport (seaports, airports, road, rail and inland waterways), and energy (generation, transmission and distribution). We identify several overarching research gaps, which include the (i) limited consideration of multi-hazard and multi-infrastructure interactions within a single modelling framework, (ii) scarcity of studies focusing on certain combinations of climate hazards and infrastructure types, (iii) difficulties in scaling-up climate risk analysis across geographies, (iv) increasing challenge of validating models, (v) untapped potential of further knowledge spillovers across sectors, (vi) need to embed equity considerations into modelling frameworks, and (vii) quantifying a wider set of impact metrics. We argue that a cross-sectoral systems approach enables knowledge sharing and a better integration of infrastructure interdependencies between multiple sectors.

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Section: Inland Water Transportmentioning

confidence: 99%

Quantifying climate risks to infrastructure systems: A comparative review of developments across infrastructure sectors

Verschuur,

Fernández-Pérez,

Mühlhofer

et al. 2024

PLOS Clim

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“…This means that disruptions of IWT can be of significant importance for the region and beyond. Driven by the growth of IWT volumes (Vinke et al., 2022)—a reflection of the increase in global maritime container transport (Bishop et al., 2011; Corbett et al., 2010; Notteboom, 2007)—riverine transportation companies increasingly make use of large vessels with deep drafts. Because of the reduced navigable depth during the low flow in the Rhine, such vessels had to restrict their load factors, in order to decrease their drafts and still be able to navigate safely (Federal Institute of Hydrology, 2022).…”

Section: A Novel Systemic Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In addition to transportation surcharges (Federal Institute of Hydrology, 2022), this load reduction affected, for instance, coal and oil transport in the Netherlands (Toreti et al., 2022c). Moreover, to compensate for the reduced loads, a higher number of vessels had to be employed (Wrede, 2022), a response that can lead to an increase in traffic intensity and berth occupancy in ports (Vinke et al., 2022). Added to the reduced vessel speeds resulting from the low water depth at local levels, this contributed to further delays and interruptions of deliveries of goods in the Rhine corridor (Connolly, 2022; Wrede, 2022).…”

Section: A Novel Systemic Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

Tackling Growing Drought Risks—The Need for a Systemic Perspective

Hagenlocher,

Naumann,

Meza

et al. 2023

Earth's Future

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In the last few years, the world has experienced numerous extreme droughts with adverse direct, cascading, and systemic impacts. Despite more frequent and severe events, drought risk assessment is still incipient compared to that of other meteorological and climate hazards. This is mainly due to the complexity of drought, the high level of uncertainties in its analysis, and the lack of community agreement on a common framework to tackle the problem. Here, we outline that to effectively assess and manage drought risks, a systemic perspective is needed. We propose a novel drought risk framework that highlights the systemic nature of drought risks, and show its operationalization using the example of the 2022 drought in Europe. This research emphasizes that solutions to tackle growing drought risks should not only consider the underlying drivers of drought risks for different sectors, systems or regions, but also be based on an understanding of sector/system interdependencies, feedbacks, dynamics, compounding and concurring hazards, as well as possible tipping points and globally and/or regionally networked risks.

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“…Hydrometeorological extreme events have major impacts on both terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems (Bartholomeus et al, 2011;Witte et al, 2012;Reyer et al, 2013;Kløve et al, 2014), infrastructure (Vardon, 2015), buildings (Sanders and Phillipson, 2003), greenhouse gas emissions (Stirling et al, 2020) as well as multiple sectoral water uses (Wlostowski et al, 2022). For instance, shipping is hampered by low water levels (Christodoulou et al, 2020;Vinke et al, 2022). Agricultural production is reduced under too wet or dry conditions or due to high salinity (Kroes and Supit, 2011;Hack-ten Broeke et al, 2016;Harkness et al, 2020;Shahzad et al, 2021;de Wit et al, 2022).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Managing water across the flood-drought spectrum – experiences from and challenges for the Netherlands

Bartholomeus,

van der Wiel,

van Loon

et al. 2023

Camb. prisms Water

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Recent impactful hydrometeorological events, on both the extreme wet and dry side of the spectrum, remind policymakers and citizens that climate change is a reality and that a shift in water management solutions is required. A selection of policy-shaping events in the Netherlands shows that both floods and droughts have occurred historically and continue to occur, causing significant impacts and challenges for water resources management. For decades, water management in the Netherlands has focused on implementing flood prevention policies, mostly prompted by specific events. The occurrence of droughts did not lead to comparable significant transitions in water management. The bias toward adaptation measures on the wet part of the spectrum (i.e., floods), increases vulnerability to dry extremes (i.e., droughts) as experienced in 2018-2020 and 2022. A required long-term, integral vision to rethink the existing water management system is challenging as droughts and floods act on different time scales. Furthermore, there is a fierce competition for land use and water use functions. 'Transformation pathways', applied across the full flood-drought spectrum, could provide a valuable framework in the development toward a sustainable management of water resources, involving stakeholders for just and equitable transitions and translating long-term visions into pathways for action. Impact statementHydrometeorological extreme events, that is, floods and droughts, have major impacts on ecosystems and sectoral water uses such as shipping, agriculture, industry, energy, and drinking water. From looking back on a selection of historical events in the Netherlands, we learn that significant changes in policy and measures have been implemented in response to extreme hydrological events, especially with regards to floods. However, from recent extreme drought (2018)(2019)(2020) 2022) and flood conditions (2021) and future climate projections, it has become clear that optimization of the current water management system will not suffice. A transformation is needed to deal with future hydrological extremes, requiring modifications in water system, water management, water use, and governance. We need to design, manage, and use the water system in a way that resilience to both floods and droughts is increased. This requires methods and tools to stress-test the system for both extremes, and knowledge of measures that reduce both risks. In regional adaptation strategies, the full flood-drought spectrum should be managed in a balanced way. A transformation of the current water system and water management will not always and at all locations be beneficial for all sectors. Stakeholder interactions are needed for just and equitable transitions and for translating long-term visions into concrete pathways for action.

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Cascading effects of sustained low water on inland shipping

Cited by 20 publications

References 9 publications

Quantifying climate risks to infrastructure systems: A comparative review of developments across infrastructure sectors

Quantifying climate risks to infrastructure systems: A comparative review of developments across infrastructure sectors

Tackling Growing Drought Risks—The Need for a Systemic Perspective

Managing water across the flood-drought spectrum – experiences from and challenges for the Netherlands

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