2021
DOI: 10.1017/s095026882100025x
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Challenge of forecasting demand of medical resources and supplies during a pandemic: A comparative evaluation of three surge calculators for COVID-19

Abstract: Ever since the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the new coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) as a pandemic, there has been a public health debate concerning medical resources and supplies including hospital beds, intensive care units (ICU), ventilators and protective personal equipment (PPE). Forecasting COVID-19 dissemination has played a key role in informing healthcare professionals and governments on how to manage overburdened healthcare systems. However, forecasting during the pandemic remained cha… Show more

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Cited by 17 publications
(11 citation statements)
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“…Identifying patients who are at higher risk for COVID-19 mortality will enable clinicians to intervene, allocate resources, and make more informed triage decisions [ 34 ]. Revealing smoking as a modifiable risk factor for men can enhance our control to this disease by highlighting the importance of smoking cessation specifically among this group while categorizing priorities during hospital admission.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Identifying patients who are at higher risk for COVID-19 mortality will enable clinicians to intervene, allocate resources, and make more informed triage decisions [ 34 ]. Revealing smoking as a modifiable risk factor for men can enhance our control to this disease by highlighting the importance of smoking cessation specifically among this group while categorizing priorities during hospital admission.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…One of the major challenges was the immense time pressure the organizations faced when trying to respond to very high demands for certain categories of products and services caused by the pandemic. For instance, organizations faced immense time pressure to produce medical equipment such as ventilators and PPE kits (Kamar et al, 2021 ). Usually, in normal situations, organizations produce medical equipment and supply oxygen to hospitals at regular intervals based on required demand.…”
Section: Introductionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As a multitude of therapeutic regimens arose, so did various reports of collateral damage. A higher number of critically ill patients, insufficient PPE, understaffed hospitals, prolonged hospitalizations, and longer durations of invasive mechanical intubation are all risk factors that may increase nosocomial infections [ 14 , 15 , 16 , 17 , 18 ]. What makes this more concerning is the rising spread of antimicrobial resistance [ 19 , 20 ], especially since nearly all the above-mentioned risk factors may favor harboring multi-drug resistance organisms [ 21 ], including last resort options such as carbapenem and colistin.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%