Changes in event number and duration of rain types over Mongolia from 1981 to 2014

Vandandorj, Sumiya; Munkhjargal, Erdenebadrakh; Boldgiv, Bazartseren; Gantsetseg, Batdelger

doi:10.1007/s12665-016-6380-0

Cited by 34 publications

(24 citation statements)

References 38 publications

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“…Temperature shows a consistent increasing trend (p < 0.05) across the entire country, and across all seasons with the exception of winter (Figure 5a, Figures S3 and S4; see Methods for details). Our findings are consistent with previous assessments based on 48 Mongolian meteorological stations, which showed a 2.14 • C increase in mean annual temperature over the last 70 years [32] (IGES 2012), and with other studies showing that annual temperature in all regions (i.e., northern, central, Gobi, eastern and western regions) have increased significantly over the last 30 years [32][33][34][35]. In addition to observational data, tree-ring derived reconstructions of summer temperatures over the past millennium also suggest that temperature in the northern region has increased rapidly since the 1900s, and that this increase might be unprecedented in the context of the previous millennium [36][37][38].…”

Section: Hazard: Climate Trends In Mongoliasupporting

confidence: 93%

Socio-ecological Interactions in a Changing Climate: A Review of the Mongolian Pastoral System

et al. 2019

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Coping with climate change in socio-ecological systems is one of the most urgent issues facing the world. This is particularly true in socio-ecological systems, where climate not only influences social and ecosystem dynamics, but also modulates their interaction. In this paper, we presented a conceptual framework through a literature review and a trend analysis for assessing the impact of climate change that incorporates socio-ecological interactions. In particular, we focused on the Mongolian pastoral system, which has tightly coupled socio-ecological interactions, as a model for describing the framework. Our framework suggests that the flexibility in mobility of herders is the principal factor in determining the vulnerability of the socio-ecological system to climate change. The flexibility varies along a climatic gradient and socio-ecological interactions in each region have evolved to be suited to its local climate regime. Herders in northern and central regions of Mongolia move shorter distances, and less flexible, than those in southern (Gobi) region. Climatic hazards, on the other hand have been increasing across Mongolia with a trend toward warmer and drier conditions since the 1960s. We suggest that further warming and drying would have the greatest impact on northern and central regions due to lower flexibility in mobility among herders there coupled with the much higher livestock density in the regions. The findings support that maintaining flexibility of mobile herding will likely be crucial to reducing the vulnerability of the Mongolian pastoral system to climate change.

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Section: Hazard: Climate Trends In Mongoliasupporting

confidence: 93%

Socio-ecological Interactions in a Changing Climate: A Review of the Mongolian Pastoral System

et al. 2019

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“…All over Mongolia, a transition from stratiform (moderate but long-lasting) to convective (short but very intensive) rainfall has been observed. Because short and intensive rain showers tend to create more surface runoff, they result in a reduced soil infiltration and therefore plant water availability (Vandandorj et al 2017).…”

Section: Regardingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forest Management In Mongolia – A Review Of Challenges And Lessons Learned With Special Reference To Degradation And Deforestation

Gradel

Sukhbaatar

Karthe³

et al. 2019

GES

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The natural conditions, climate change and socio-economic challenges related to the transformation from a socialistic society towards a market-driven system make the implementation of sustainable land management practices in Mongolia especially complicated. Forests play an important role in land management. In addition to providing resources and ecosystem functions, Mongolian forests protect against land degradation.GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY 03 (12) 2019

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“…Temperatures are expected to increase globally with larger changes in higher latitudes (IPCC 2013), while changes in precipitation are expected to be less consistent and predictable (IPCC 2013). Indeed, some regions have already documented increases in precipitation, while others have shown marked decreases and still others are experiencing changes in the frequency and intensity of precipitation events (Goulden et al, 2016;Vandandorj, Munkhjargal, Boldgiv, & Gantsetseg, 2017). In particular, because temperature and precipitation are not expected to change in parallel, discerning the ecological consequences of climate change will require understanding the consequences of elevated temperature at different levels of soil moisture or precipitation.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of increased temperature on plant communities depend on landscape location and precipitation

Cowles

Boldgiv

Liancourt

et al. 2018

Ecology and Evolution

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Global climate change is affecting and will continue to affect ecosystems worldwide. Specifically, temperature and precipitation are both expected to shift globally, and their separate and interactive effects will likely affect ecosystems differentially depending on current temperature, precipitation regimes, and other biotic and environmental factors. It is not currently understood how the effects of increasing temperature on plant communities may depend on either precipitation or where communities lie on soil moisture gradients. Such knowledge would play a crucial role in increasing our predictive ability for future effects of climate change in different systems. To this end, we conducted a multi‐factor global change experiment at two locations, differing in temperature, moisture, aspect, and plant community composition, on the same slope in the northern Mongolian steppe. The natural differences in temperature and moisture between locations served as a point of comparison for the experimental manipulations of temperature and precipitation. We conducted two separate experiments, one examining the effect of climate manipulation via open‐top chambers (OTCs) across the two different slope locations, the other a factorial OTC by watering experiment at one of the two locations. By combining these experiments, we were able to assess how OTCs impact plant productivity and diversity across a natural and manipulated range of soil moisture. We found that warming effects were context dependent, with the greatest negative impacts of warming on diversity in the warmer, drier upper slope location and in the unwatered plots. Our study is an important step in understanding how global change will affect ecosystems across multiple scales and locations.

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Changes in event number and duration of rain types over Mongolia from 1981 to 2014

Cited by 34 publications

References 38 publications

Socio-ecological Interactions in a Changing Climate: A Review of the Mongolian Pastoral System

Socio-ecological Interactions in a Changing Climate: A Review of the Mongolian Pastoral System

Forest Management In Mongolia – A Review Of Challenges And Lessons Learned With Special Reference To Degradation And Deforestation

Effects of increased temperature on plant communities depend on landscape location and precipitation

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