Objective
We aimed to determine whether endothelial activation biomarkers increase after HIV-1 acquisition, and whether biomarker levels measured in chronic infection would predict disease progression and death in HIV-1 seroconverters.
Design
HIV-1-seronegative Kenyan women were monitored monthly for seroconversion, and followed prospectively after HIV-1 acquisition.
Methods
Plasma levels of angiopoietins-1 and -2 (ANG-1, ANG-2) and soluble vascular cell adhesion marker-1 (VCAM-1), intercellular adhesion marker-1 (ICAM-1), and E-selectin were tested in stored samples from before infection, acute infection, and at two points during chronic infection. We used non-parametric tests to compare biomarkers before and after HIV-1 acquisition, and Cox proportional-hazards regression to analyze associations with disease progression (CD4 <200 cells/μL, Stage IV disease, or ART initiation) or death.
Results
Soluble ICAM-1 and VCAM-1 were elevated relative to baseline in all post-infection periods assessed (p<0.0001). Soluble E-selectin and the ANG-2:ANG-1 ratio increased in acute infection (p=0.0001), and ANG-1 decreased in chronic infection (p=0.0004). Among 228 subjects followed over 1,028 person-years, 115 experienced disease progression or death. Plasma VCAM-1 levels measured during chronic infection were independently associated with time to HIV progression or death (aHR 5.36, 95% confidence interval 1.99–14.44 per log10 increase), after adjustment for set point plasma viral load, age at infection, and soluble ICAM-1 levels.
Conclusions
HIV-1 acquisition was associated with endothelial activation, with sustained elevations of soluble ICAM-1 and VCAM-1 post-infection. Soluble VCAM-1 may be an informative biomarker for predicting the risk of HIV-1 disease progression, morbidity, and mortality.