“…Drastic changes in behavior have been observed in some homosexuallyactive populations as a result of the effects of the AIDS epidemic in these communities (see Baldwin and Baldwin 1988, Curran et al 1988, Fineberg 1988, Evans et al 1989, Martin 1987, Saltzman et al 1987, Shechter et al 1988, van Griensven et al 1989a,b, Wilkenstein 1988, McKusick et al 1985, Shilts 1987, and Wiktor et al 1990). The effects of these documented changes in behavior on HIV incidence, and the development of partially-effective drug treatments such as AZT, makes it even more difficult to forecast the timing and magnitude of this epidemic.…”