Objective
Higher childhood Body Mass Index (BMI) during early life is thought to be a causal risk factor for Multiple Sclerosis (MS). We used longitudinal mendelian randomisation (MR) to determine whether there is a critical window during which BMI influences MS risk.
Methods
Summary statistics for childhood BMI and for MS susceptibility were obtained from recent large GWAS. We generated exposure instruments for BMI during four non-overlapping epochs (< 3 months, 3 months - 1.5 years, 2 - 5 years, and 7 - 8 years) and performed MR using the inverse-variance weighted method with standard sensitivity analyses.
Results
At all time epochs other than birth, genetically-elevated BMI was associated with an increased liability to MS: Birth (OR 0.81, 95%CI 0.50-1.31, NSNPs=7, p=0.39), Infancy (OR 1.18, 95%CI 1.04-1.33, NSNPs=18, p=0.01), Early childhood (OR 1.31, 95%CI 1.03-1.66, NSNPs=4, p=0.03), Later childhood (OR 1.34, 95% CI 1.08-1.66, NSNPs=4, p=0.01). There was no evidence that horizontal pleiotropy was biasing the IVW estimates at any of these points. There was evidence of an upwards trend in MS risk from birth to 8 years (Mann-Kendall test, tau = 0.636, 2-sided p-value =0.005).
Conclusion
We provide novel evidence using longitudinal MR that genetically-determined higher BMI during early life (from 3 months) increases MS risk, and that the magnitude of this effect increases towards late childhood and adolescence.