China’s commercial building carbon emissions toward 2060: An integrated dynamic emission assessment model

Huo, Tengfei; Xu, Linbo; Liu, Bingsheng; Cai, Weiguang; Feng, Wei

doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.119828

Cited by 72 publications

(20 citation statements)

References 58 publications

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“…Therefore, establishing a model for solving FDI-CENLDS nonlinear differential dynamic equations is difficult. This paper adopts Hendry's advocated "datadriven" modeling method, using discrete data from Zhejiang Province between 1995 and 2020 as samples The parameters in the system of differential equation system are estimated using dynamic econometric methods to establish a discrete-type nonlinear dynamic model [25]. This model is transformed into a differential dynamic system model, and numerical solutions are obtained to generate graphical solutions and phase diagrams.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Dynamic Economic Analysis on Foreign Direct Investment and Carbon Emissions Nonlinear System in Zhejiang Province, China

Weng,

Dong,

2024

Pol. J. Environ. Stud.

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According to data from the International Energy Agency, China's carbon emissions reached 9.893 billion tons in 2021 [1]. These large-scale carbon emissions also significantly hindered China's high-quality development.China has proposed the goal of achieving a carbon peak by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060.China has implemented a new development strategy called "Dual Circulation," which emphasizes the importance of domestic circulation as the main driver while also promoting the mutually beneficial interaction between domestic and international markets. This strategy aims to facilitate high-quality economic development. Foreign direct investment (FDI) is an essential part of the dual circulation strategy, providing

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Dynamic Economic Analysis on Foreign Direct Investment and Carbon Emissions Nonlinear System in Zhejiang Province, China

Weng,

Dong,

2024

Pol. J. Environ. Stud.

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“…Population is related to urban energy consumption. The progression of urbanization is expected to drive the migration of residents from rural to urban areas [31]. This indicates that the social and economic activities of the migrating population will undergo spatial transfers or quantitative changes during the adjustment process, thereby influencing the carbon emissions of different regions [30].…”

Section: Strategies For Carbon Emissions Reduction Of Buildingsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Urban building stock evolution is heavily influenced by economic factors, which affect people' disposable income, demand for floor space and energy services, and developer visions for certain building types [31]. Newly built and destroyed building areas are both inputs into the total building stock area [25].…”

Section: Strategies For Carbon Emissions Reduction Of Buildingsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Thus, a comprehensive long-term projection of estimate CO2 emissions reduction potential from the urban building stock should take into account various factors. These factors encompass building floor space, the floor space of buildings with different energy efficiency levels, building design, newly constructed commercial buildings, and the demolition of existing commercial buildings [31,34]. Furthermore, indoor environmental conditions also have an impact on health [26].…”

Section: Strategies For Carbon Emissions Reduction Of Buildingsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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A Qualitative Review on the Strategies to Reduce the Buildings’ Carbon Emissions

Ayuningtias,

Berawi,

Sarojin

et al. 2024

E3S Web of Conf.

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As stated in the Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) document, which establishes emission reduction objectives for 2030, the Government of Indonesia has ratified the Paris Agreement, a worldwide agreement to decrease emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) and to address the consequences of climate change. This was accomplished through Law No. 16 of 2016. To achieve zero emissions, Indonesia focuses on reducing the use of fossil fuels, adopting environmentally friendly technologies, and increasing the utilization of renewable energy. Global environmental challenges, driven by climate change, have far-reaching implications, including severe health and economic consequences. This study aims to explores the strategies globally performed to reduce the carbon emissions of buildings. To obtain that objective, this study uses a qualitative literature review. The study shows that strategies that can help reduce the buildings carbon emissions include population dynamics, solar photovoltaic, solar water heaters, material use, energy consumption, building stock, and economic considerations. The finding presents a unique opportunity for prioritizing green building practices and carbon emission reduction strategies in Indonesia.

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“…In China, there is a long-term and stable relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, and there is a one-way causal relationship between economic growth and energy consumption [21]. Huo [22] innovatively develops the Integrated Dynamic Emission Assessment Model (IDEAM) to model the dynamic evolution of Chinese commercial building carbon emissions toward 2060. The results show that commercial building carbon emissions will peak at 1.28 Gigatons (Gt) of CO 2 in 2037 under the baseline scenario and will advance toward 2029 with an emissions peak of 0.98 Gt CO 2 under the low-carbon scenario.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of the Sustainable Driving Effect of Building Energy Consumption on Economic Development Based on the Sustainable Driving Force Model

et al. 2023

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The environmental problems caused by building energy consumption (BEC) are becoming increasingly prominent. Reducing building energy consumption can not only effectively curb environmental pollution, but also continue to promote economic development. However, there are few reports on reducing building energy consumption to continuously promote economic development. Sustainable driving force (SDF) has been widely mentioned in past research as a common-sense concept, but few systematic studies have been carried out. The main research objectives of this article include two aspects: On the one hand, this study takes the lead in establishing an SDF model and conducting systematic research on SDF. On the other hand, based on the SDF model, an empirical study is conducted on the sustainable driving effect of reducing building energy consumption on economic development in China. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) Research on the SDF model: Based on common examples, the objective reality of SDF has been theoretically proven. Based on the relevant theories of econometrics, this article believes that the “Granger causality test” and the “distributed lag regression model” can be used as basic tools for quantitative research of SDF models. (2) Research on the application of SDF model: From the Granger causality test, it can be seen that the current BEC intensity is the Granger cause of China’s economic development in the first and eighth cycles of the future. According to the results of the distributed lag regression model, reducing BEC intensity has a sustainable driving effect on economic development. Specifically, in the lagged period 1~8, the sustainable driving effect (reverse effect) of BEC on economic development gradually increases at first (coefficient value from 3878.52 to 5163.87), and then gradually decreases (coefficient value from 5163.87 to 783.534). To sum up, the SDF model can provide a reference for the quantitative study of SDF; studying the sustainable driving effect of BEC on economic development can provide a macro reference for the government to formulate “energy conservation and emission reduction” measures.

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China’s commercial building carbon emissions toward 2060: An integrated dynamic emission assessment model

Cited by 72 publications

References 58 publications

The Dynamic Economic Analysis on Foreign Direct Investment and Carbon Emissions Nonlinear System in Zhejiang Province, China

The Dynamic Economic Analysis on Foreign Direct Investment and Carbon Emissions Nonlinear System in Zhejiang Province, China

A Qualitative Review on the Strategies to Reduce the Buildings’ Carbon Emissions

Analysis of the Sustainable Driving Effect of Building Energy Consumption on Economic Development Based on the Sustainable Driving Force Model

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