“…Previous long-term follow-up observational studies have shown that 13%-38% of children received treatment during childhood, (20,21,24,25) and that by age 20 years, 6%-10% of patients with perinatal HBV are no longer HBsAg positive, 0%-2% develop HCC, 1%-4% develop cirrhosis, and around half became an inactive carrier. (20,21,24,26) Based on these findings, we assumed that 25% of children received treatment before age 20 years with an estimated cost of $10,000 (based on 1 year of antiviral treatment, i.e., tenofovir, entecavir, or pegylated interferon-alpha), (27)(28)(29) and that that by age 20 years, 8% of patients with perinatal CHB cleared HBsAg, 45% achieved inactive carrier status, 45% developed active CHB status, 1% developed HCC,, and 1% developed cirrhosis. We assumed that before age 20 years, all children received assessment for disease progression twice a year, and that the assessment included HBsAg and HBeAg status, HBV-DNA load, presence of hepatomegaly and splenomegaly, measurement of ALT, aspartate aminotransferase, alkaline phosphatase, alpa-fetoprotein, total bilirubin, full blood count, synthetic function of the liver with serum albumin and prothrombin time or international normalized ratio, and ultrasound scan.…”