Climate Change and Agriculture: An Integrated Approach to Evaluate Economy-Wide Effects for Turkey

Dudu, Hasan; Cakmak, Erol H.

doi:10.2139/ssrn.2384469

Cited by 5 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 24 publications

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“…Similarly >20% area of the country is arid and semiarid (Camci Çetin et al 2007), which is unsuitable for the species. Climate change is expected to increase aridity and salinity in the country (Dudu and Çakmak 2018), which will further halt the spread of this species to new areas. Thus, management efforts should be concentrated on the currently invaded range.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Influence of Environmental Factors on Germination of Burcucumber (Sicyos angulatus) Seeds: Implications for Range Expansion and Management

et al. 2018

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Burcucumber (Sicyos angulatusL.) is a highly invasive vine that has become naturalized in the humid Black Sea region of Turkey, but previous to this study there was no information on the germination biology of this weed. The germination biology of three naturalized populations ofS. angulatusfrom the Black Sea region was studied in laboratory and greenhouse experiments. The germination of nondormant seeds was observed under different photoperiods, constant temperatures, and varying levels of pH, salinity, and osmotic potential. Furthermore, seedling emergence from various soil depths was investigated. The seeds of all populations proved nonphotoblastic (82% to 90%, 55% to 66%, and 48% to 56% germination under 12-, 24-, and 0-h photoperiod, respectively) and germinated over a wide range of temperatures (5 to 40 C). Seedlings emerged from all seed burial depths (0 to 15 cm); however, germination was drastically reduced (>90% reduction) beyond 6 to 8 cm. Seed germination was 30% to 38% for seeds placed on the surface and increased to 78% to 88% for seeds buried 2 cm deep, while germination was severely reduced for seeds buried 10 and 15 cm deep (8 to 12% and 0 to 6%, respectively). Seeds of all populations were found to be sensitive to osmotic and salinity stress and to highly acidic and alkaline pH levels. All populations had similar requirements for germination that are directly related to their area of naturalization. These results indicate that the species has limited potential for range expansion to arid, semiarid (nonirrigated), and relatively saline areas. However, humid, salinity-free, and frequently irrigated areas of the country are at high risk of invasion. In arable lands, deep tillage followed by shallow tillage and effective management of emerging seedlings could deplete the soil seedbank in the long run. However, there is an urgent need for effective strategies to manage the species in other nonarable areas.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Influence of Environmental Factors on Germination of Burcucumber (Sicyos angulatus) Seeds: Implications for Range Expansion and Management

et al. 2018

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“…Cline (2007) estimated that an increase in the average level of temperature and a decrease in the level of precipitation would harm the agricultural productivity of Turkey considerably. Combining a crop water requirement model and an economy-wide model, Dudu and Çakmak (2018) investigated the effect of climate change on the Turkish economy. Their results show that the adverse impact of environmental problems would intensify in the second part of the century, which gives the country a chance to develop its adaptive strategies.…”

Section: Area Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Overall, the variations in production are constant during the whole period. Wheat production is mainly dependent on rainfall conditions, which makes this product vulnerable to climatic conditions and causes significant fluctuations in output from year to year (Dudu and Çakmak 2018).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Addressing the long- and short-run effects of climate change on major food crops production in Turkey

Chandio

Gökmenoğlu

Ahmad

2021

Environ Sci Pollut Res

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This study assessed the long-run (LR) and short-run (SR) impacts of climatic and non-climatic factors, i.e., CO 2 emissions (CO 2 e), average level of temperature (ALT), average level of precipitation (ALP), area harvested of wheat and rice crops (AHW and (AHR), domestic credit (DCR), and agricultural labor (ALB) on wheat and rice production (WP and RP) in Turkey by using annual time series data ranging from 1980 to 2016 and by employing several econometric techniques. The autoregressive distributed lag-bounds (ARDL) approach and the Johansen and Juselius cointegration (JJC) test confirmed a valid long-term connection among underlying variables. The estimation results from the ARDL model reveal that climatic factors such as CO 2 emissions and temperature adversely affected wheat production in the long run as well as in the short run, whereas precipitation positively improved wheat production in both periods. Further results indicate that non-climatic factors like area harvested of wheat and domestic credit positively and significantly enhanced wheat production in the long run and short run. Similarly, CO 2 emissions also adversely affected rice production in both periods, while temperature and precipitation positively contributed towards rice production in both cases. In addition, area harvested of rice positively and significantly boosted rice production in the long run as well as in the short run, while domestic credit negatively influenced rice production in the long run but in the short run positively improved rice production. Additionally, the outcomes of the VECM Granger Causality for both rice and wheat production confirm that both climatic and non-climatic variables have a strong influence on the production of both crops. This study found that climate change has a deleterious influence on both wheat and rice production; therefore, the study suggests that temperature-resistant varieties of both crops should be developed and introduced by agricultural research institutions. In addition to this, up-to-date information is more needed related to climate change, and in the farming communities, it should be provided by agricultural extension workers.

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“…As an example, the agriculture sector will be impacted due to the climate change induced impacts and potential rise in food insecurity is expected due to considerable losses of crops (Gürsoy, 2020;Dudu and Çakmak, 2018). Moreover, having 8333 km of coastline, the sea-level rise will impact the coastal zones, marine ecosystems and freshwater resources adversely (Özyurt and Ergin, 2009;Demirkesen et al, 2008).…”

Section: Climate Change and Turkeymentioning

confidence: 99%

Gender As The Missing Component In The Turkish Climate Change Policies And Academic Papers | İklim Değişikliği Politikalarının ve Akademik Makalelerin Toplumsal Cinsiyet Perspektifi Açısından Sorgulanması

Külcür¹

2020

Akdeniz Kadın Çalışmaları Ve Toplumsal Cinsiyet Dergisi

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Turkey is extremely vulnerable to the adverse consequences of climate change due to its location. The effects of climate change are not gender neutral and women are more vulnerable than men to adverse effects of climate change. Although the implications of gender in relation to climate change has been extensively researched in the Global South and has started to emerge in the Global North, gender dimensions and analysis of climate change is absent from public policy discussions and academic papers in Turkey. This paper has a dual aim of revealing the gender invisibility with regard to climate change in academic literature and in the national climate change policies in Turkey as well as of increasing the academic understanding of gender dimensions of climate change to inform the public policy in the country. To this end, a combination of broad systematic literature review and document analysis method were used. In addition, decision-making bodies were analysed. I argue that the absence of critical gender analysis in policy and research in relation to climate change reduces the country's ability to develop adequate adaptation and mitigation strategies since the impacts of climate change can exacerbate existing inequalities with regard to gender. This failure may weaken Turkey's positions in the international climate change politics and the harmonisation with the European Union.

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Climate Change and Agriculture: An Integrated Approach to Evaluate Economy-Wide Effects for Turkey

Cited by 5 publications

References 24 publications

The Influence of Environmental Factors on Germination of Burcucumber (Sicyos angulatus) Seeds: Implications for Range Expansion and Management

The Influence of Environmental Factors on Germination of Burcucumber (Sicyos angulatus) Seeds: Implications for Range Expansion and Management

Addressing the long- and short-run effects of climate change on major food crops production in Turkey

Gender As The Missing Component In The Turkish Climate Change Policies And Academic Papers | İklim Değişikliği Politikalarının ve Akademik Makalelerin Toplumsal Cinsiyet Perspektifi Açısından Sorgulanması

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