Climate change and international tourism: A simulation study

Hamilton, Jacqueline M.; Maddison, David; Tol, Richard S.J.

doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.12.009

Cited by 308 publications

(179 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…Version 1.0 is described by Hamilton et al (2005a), version 1.1 by Hamilton et al (2005b) and 1.2 by Bigano et al (2005). The econometrics are inspired by Maddison (2001), Lise and Tol (2002) and Hamilton (2003), while the data are as in Bigano et al (2004).…”

Section: Tourism Flows At the National Levelmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Hamilton et al (2005a) present sensitivity analyses of the effect of changing the distance parameter (travel costs) and the income elasticity. They find that changing these parameters has a major effect on the baseline results but only a minor effect on the impact of climate change on international tourism.…”

Section: Tourism Flows At the National Levelmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The result runs counter to expectations. With climate change, tourists may be expected to seek cooler destinations, suggesting a poleward shift (Bigano et al 2005;Hamilton et al 2005a). This expectation is naïve, however.…”

Section: Germanymentioning

confidence: 99%

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The impact of climate change on tourism in Germany, the UK and Ireland: a simulation study

Hamilton¹,

Tol

2007

Reg Environ Change

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131

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We downscale the results of a global tourism simulation model at a national resolution to a regional resolution. We use this to investigate the impact of climate change on the regions of Germany, Ireland and the UK. Because of climate change, tourists from all three countries would spend more holidays in the home country. In all three countries, climate change would first reduce the number of international arrivals-as Western European international tourist demand falls-but later increase numbers-as tourism demand from increasingly rich tropical countries grows. In Ireland and the UK, the regional pattern of demand shifts is similar to the international one: tourism shifts north. In Germany, the opposite pattern is observed as the continental interior warms faster than the coast: tourism shifts south.

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Section: Tourism Flows At the National Levelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Tourism Flows At the National Levelmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The impact of climate change on tourism in Germany, the UK and Ireland: a simulation study

Hamilton¹,

Tol

2007

Reg Environ Change

Self Cite

131

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“…It has been noted that tourism and climate are linked and weather conditions can influence the amount of visitors in specific area (cf. Amelung et al, 2007;Hamilton et al, 2005;Martín, 2005;Smith, 1993). Extreme rainfall can therefore have an impact on the local economy.…”

Section: Effects Of Intense Rainfall On Ecosystem Services Provisionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of extreme natural events on the provision of ecosystem services in a mountain environment: The importance of trail design in delivering system resilience and ecosystem service co-benefits

Tomczyk

White

Ewertowski

2016

Journal of Environmental Management

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“…As tourism is still a growth industry, the changes in tourist numbers induced by climate change are likely to be much smaller than those resulting from population and economic growth (Bigano et al, 2005;Hamilton et al, 2005;Table 6.2). Higher temperatures are likely to change summer destination preferences, especially for Europe: summer heatwaves in the Mediterranean may lead to a shift in tourism to spring and autumn (Madisson, 2001) with growth in summer tourism around the Baltic and North Seas (see Chapter 12, Section 12.4.9).…”

Section: Recreation and Tourismmentioning

confidence: 99%

Coastal Systems and Low-Lying Areas

Field¹,

Barros²,

Dokken³

et al.

Climate Change 2014 Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability

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Since the IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), our understanding of the implications of climate change for coastal systems and low-lying areas (henceforth referred to as 'coasts') has increased substantially and six important policy-relevant messages have emerged. Coasts are experiencing the adverse consequences of hazards related to climate and sea level (very high confidence). Coasts are highly vulnerable to extreme events, such as storms, which impose substantial costs on coastal societies [6.2.1, 6.2.2, 6.5.2]. Annually, about 120 million people are exposed to tropical cyclone hazards, which killed 250,000 people from 1980 to 2000 [6.5.2]. Through the 20th century, global rise of sea level contributed to increased coastal inundation, erosion and ecosystem losses, but with considerable local and regional variation due to other factors [6.2.5, 6.4.1]. Late 20th century effects of rising temperature include loss of sea ice, thawing of permafrost and associated coastal retreat, and more frequent coral bleaching and mortality [6.2.5]. Coasts will be exposed to increasing risks, including coastal erosion, over coming decades due to climate change and sea-level rise (very high confidence). Anticipated climate-related changes include: an accelerated rise in sea level of up to 0.6 m or more by 2100; a further rise in sea surface temperatures by up to 3°C; an intensification of tropical and extratropical cyclones; larger extreme waves and storm surges; altered precipitation/run-off; and ocean acidification [6.3.2]. These phenomena will vary considerably at regional and local scales, but the impacts are virtually certain to be overwhelmingly negative [6.4, 6.5.3].

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Climate change and international tourism: A simulation study

Cited by 308 publications

References 28 publications

The impact of climate change on tourism in Germany, the UK and Ireland: a simulation study

The impact of climate change on tourism in Germany, the UK and Ireland: a simulation study

Effects of extreme natural events on the provision of ecosystem services in a mountain environment: The importance of trail design in delivering system resilience and ecosystem service co-benefits

Coastal Systems and Low-Lying Areas

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