Clinal variation in Pinus hartwegii populations and its application for adaptation to climate change

Loya-Rebollar, Esperanza; Sáenz‐Romero, Cuauhtémoc; Lindig‐Cisneros, Roberto; Lobit, Philippe; Villegas-Moreno, Javier; Sánchez-Vargas, Nahúm M.

doi:10.1515/sg-2013-0011

Cited by 21 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 20 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…In general, in mountain regions assisted migration requires an upward shift in altitude (Jump et al 2009, Sáenz-Romero et al 2010, Rehfeldt et al 2012), because elevation is mainly a surrogate variable for temperature (Rehfeldt et al 1999, Loya-Rebollar et al 2013.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Altitudinal assisted migration of Mexican pines as an adaptation to climate change

2015

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Citation: Castellanos-Acuñ a, D., R. Lindig-Cisneros, and C. Sáenz-Romero. 2015. Altitudinal assisted migration of Mexican pines as an adaptation to climate change. Ecosphere 6(1):2. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/ES14-00375.1Abstract. Since shifts in altitudinal range are expected in response to climate change, we explored the effect on survivorship and growth of moving populations of three Mexican pine species (Pinus devoniana, P. leiophylla and P. pseudostrobus) to higher altitude, aiming to realign the populations to projected future climates in an experimental assisted migration. Twelve populations were collected across an altitudinal gradient (1650-2520 m above sea level [asl]) in a mountainous zone in the central-west region of the Mexican Trans-Volcanic Belt, and were planted in common garden tests at three forest sites of different altitudes (low: 2110, medium: 2422 and upper: 2746 m asl). Climate was estimated using a spline climatic model at the seed source and test sites and also measured using in situ data loggers. Survivorship and seedling height were evaluated in the field during the second and third growing seasons. Results were analyzed using mixed models to include the effect of climatic transfer distances (difference in climate between seed source and test site). Significant differences were found in seedling growth among Pinus devoniana, P. pseudostrobus and P. leiophylla, and among populations within the former two species. These were associated primarily with climatic transfer distances of extreme temperatures (minimum temperature in the coldest month and mean temperature in the warmest month). There was a significant decrease in growth in P. devoniana when the transfer exceeded 650 m of upward altitudinal shift or a reduction of 1.58C with transfer to colder sites. There was also a decrease of growth in P. pseudostrobus when transfer exceeded 400 m of upward altitudinal shift or 1.58C, with a significant decrease in survivorship. Pinus leiophylla, however, exhibited similar growth at all altitudes tested, probably due to phenotypic plasticity. Although further research is required with field tests using commercial spacing and trees of older ages, the results suggest that an assisted upwards migration of 300 m in altitude, in order to approach a realignment of the populations to the climate projected for the decade centered around the year 2030, appears to be a viable strategy with which to accommodate the effects of climate change.

show abstract

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Altitudinal assisted migration of Mexican pines as an adaptation to climate change

2015

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…In general terms, the climate that currently occurs at a particular mountain site will occur at a higher altitude (Sáenz-Romero et al, 2010). This pattern will also happen in the mountains of Michoacán (Sáenz-Romero, Rehfeldt, Crookston, Duval, & Beaulieu, 2012b), which requires that zonings include a future climate projection (Loya-Rebollar et al, 2013). In the case of A. religiosa, a loss of suitable climate habitat of 69.2 % is expected in the decade centered on 2030, climbing to 87.6 % in 2060 and 96.5 % in 2090 (Sáenz-Romero, Rehfeldt, Duval, & LindigCisneros, 2012c).…”

Section: Recolecta De Semilla De a Religiosamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Lineamientos de manejo similares a lo anterior se han propuesto para P. hartwegii en el Parque Nacional Pico de Tancítaro, Michoacán (Loya-Rebollar et al, 2013). La planta de esta especie se origina de semilla recolectada en la zona I (intervalo altitudinal de 3,150 a 3,350 m; zonificación para clima contemporáneo) y se sugiere plantarla en la zona que tendrá clima equivalente a la zona contemporánea pero en la década centrada en el año 2030; es decir, a un intervalo de 3,550 a 3,750 m, implicando un movimiento altitudinal promedio de 400 m hacia arriba.…”

Section: Altitudinal Zoning and Management Guidelinesunclassified

“…Management guidelines similar to the above have been proposed for P. hartwegii in Tancítaro Peak National Park, Michoacán (Loya-Rebollar et al, 2013). Seedlings of this species originate from seed collected in zone I (altitudinal interval from 3,150 to 3,350 m; zoning for current climate) and it is suggested to plant them in the zone that will have a climate equivalent to that of the current zone but in the decade centered on 2030; that is, to an interval of 3,550 to 3,750 m, implying an average altitudinal movement of 400 m upwards.…”

Section: Altitudinal Zoning and Management Guidelinesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…En términos generales, el clima que actualmente ocurre en un sitio montañoso determinado acontecerá a mayor altitud (Sáenz-Romero et al, 2010). Este patrón también sucederá en las montañas de Michoacán (Sáenz-Romero, Rehfeldt, Crookston, Duval, & Beaulieu, 2012b), lo que hace necesario que las zonificaciones incluyan una proyección del clima futuro (Loya-Rebollar et al, 2013). En el caso de A. religiosa, se espera una pérdida del hábitat climático propicio de 69.2 % en la década centrada en 2030, de 87.6 % en 2060 y 96.5 % en 2090 (Sáenz-Romero, Rehfeldt, Duval, & Lindig-Cisneros, 2012c).…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

See 2 more Smart Citations

ZONIFICACIÓN ALTITUDINAL PROVISIONAL DE Abies religiosa EN UN ÁREA CERCANA A LA RESERVA DE LA BIÓSFERA DE LA MARIPOSA MONARCA, MICHOACÁN

Castellanos‐Acuña¹,

Lindig‐Cisneros²,

Silva-Farías³

et al. 2014

Rev Cha Se Cie For y del Amb

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

El objetivo del presente trabajo fue determinar la existencia de diferenciación morfológica (como indicador de variación genética) entre poblaciones de Abies religiosa, con la finalidad de delimitar una zonificación altitudinal para decidir el movimiento de semillas en los programas de reforestación. Se recolectaron y analizaron morfológicamente ramas y conos de 11 individuos de 15 poblaciones de A. religiosa en el cerro de San Andrés, municipio de Hidalgo, Michoacán (cercano a la Reserva de la Biósfera de la Mariposa Monarca), a lo largo de un transecto altitudinal (2,850-3,550 m, una población cada 50 m). La diferenciación morfológica significativa entre poblaciones se determinó a lo largo del gradiente altitudinal; las poblaciones de baja altitud tienen acículas más cortas y conos más largos que las poblaciones de elevada altitud. Se sugiere delimitar tres zonas altitudinales provisionales: 2,800 a 3,050; 3,050 a 3,300; y 3,300 a 3,550 m. Ignorando el cambio climático, se sugiere reforestar cada zona con planta originada de la semilla en la misma zona. Considerando el cambio climático, se sugiere realizar migración asistida altitudinalmente, plantando sitios en la zona inmediata superior a la zona donde la semilla se recolecte.

show abstract

Suitable climatic habitat changes for Mexican conifers along altitudinal gradients under climatic change scenarios

Gómez‐Pineda

Sáenz‐Romero

Ortega‐Rodríguez

et al. 2019

Ecological Applications

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The high biodiversity of the Mexican montane forests is concentrated on the Trans‐Mexican Volcanic Belt, where several Protected Natural Areas exist. Our study examines the projected changes in suitable climatic habitat for five conifer species that dominate these forests. The species are distributed sequentially in overlapping altitudinal bands: Pinus hartwegii at the upper timberline, followed by Abies religiosa, the overwintering host of the Monarch butterfly at the Monarch Butterfly Biosphere Reserve, P. pseudostrobus, the most important in economic terms, and P. devoniana and P. oocarpa, which are important for resin production and occupy low altitudes where montane conifers merge with tropical dry forests. We fit a bioclimatic model to presence–absence observations for each species using the Random Forests classification tree with ground plot data. The models are driven by normal climatic variables from 1961 to 1990, which represents the reference period for climate‐induced vegetation changes. Climate data from an ensemble of 17 general circulation models were run through the classification tree to project current distributions under climates described by the RCP 6.0 watts/m2 scenario for the decades centered on years 2030, 2060 and 2090. The results suggest that, by 2060, the climate niche of each species will occur at elevations that are between 300 to 500 m higher than at present. By 2060, habitat loss could amount to 46–77%, mostly affecting the lower limits of distribution. The two species at the highest elevation, P. hartwegii and A. religiosa, would suffer the greatest losses while, at the lower elevations, P. oocarpa would gain the most niche space. Our results suggest that conifers will require human assistance to migrate altitudinally upward in order to recouple populations with the climates to which they are adapted. Traditional in situ conservation measures are likely to be equivalent to inaction and will therefore be incapable of maintaining current forest compositions.

show abstract

Clinal variation in Pinus hartwegii populations and its application for adaptation to climate change

Cited by 21 publications

References 20 publications

Altitudinal assisted migration of Mexican pines as an adaptation to climate change

Altitudinal assisted migration of Mexican pines as an adaptation to climate change

ZONIFICACIÓN ALTITUDINAL PROVISIONAL DE Abies religiosa EN UN ÁREA CERCANA A LA RESERVA DE LA BIÓSFERA DE LA MARIPOSA MONARCA, MICHOACÁN

Suitable climatic habitat changes for Mexican conifers along altitudinal gradients under climatic change scenarios

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About