Coffee Output Reaction to Climate Change and Commodity Price Volatility: The Nigeria Experience

Oko-Isu, Anthony; Chukwu, Agnes Ugboego; Ofoegbu, Grace N.; Igberi, Christiana Ogonna; Ololo, Kennedy; Agbanike, Tobechi F.; Anochiwa, Lasbrey; Uwajumogu, Nkechinyere R.; Enyoghasim, Michael O.; Okoro, Uzoma; Iyaniwura, Adeolu Adewale

doi:10.3390/su11133503

Cited by 4 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 46 publications

(28 reference statements)

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“…A land mass of 1198 hectares is used in harvesting coffee to produce about 1600 ton of coffee product [55]. The major current coffee production states in Nigeria spans across the six geopolitical zones and include Taraba, Plateau, Adamawa, Oyo, Osun, Ondo, Ogun, Lagos, Edo, Kwara, Kogi, Niger, Kaduna, Benue, Abia, Cross River, and Akwa Ibom [99].…”

Section: Coffeementioning

confidence: 99%

An Assessment of Potential Resources for Biomass Energy in Nigeria

2020

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Nigeria is a developing country with an insufficient supply of energy to meet the continuously growing demand. However, there are several biomass resources available within the country. This paper presents a desk review, which investigates the potential resources for biomass energy generation within the country. Energy policies to aid biomass use as an energy source within the country were also reviewed. Biomass resources identified within Nigeria include forest residues, agricultural residues, human and animal wastes, aquatic biomass, and energy crops. However, several of the resources, particularly agricultural residues, have competing uses, such as livestock feed and soil rejuvenation. An estimation of the technical energy potential of the biomass resources revealed that about 2.33 EJ could be generated from the available resources in Nigeria. Agricultural residues have an energy potential of about 1.09 EJ, with cassava, maize, oil palm, plantain, rice, and sorghum being the major contributors. Animal wastes, municipal solid waste, and forest residues have energy potentials of 0.65, 0.11, and 0.05 EJ, respectively. The potentials of wood fuel and charcoal are 0.38 and 0.05 EJ, respectively. The study found that despite the available potential and existing policies, not much has been done in the implementation of large-scale bioenergy within the country. However, there has been laboratory and research-scale investigations. The review suggests that more policies and stronger enforcement will aid bioenergy development within the country. From the review, it has been suggested that the agricultural sector needs to be developed to generate more biomass resources. More research, development, and implementation have to be carried out on biomass resources and bioenergy generation processes. The production of non-edible energy crops in marginal lands should also be considered prime to the development of bioenergy within the country.

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Section: Coffeementioning

confidence: 99%

An Assessment of Potential Resources for Biomass Energy in Nigeria

2020

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“…Although each country has its own particularities in terms of local production strategies, market fluxes, and environmental factors, there are some common features. For instance, less-developed economies in some of these countries exhibit a relatively high dependence on climate-sensitive agriculture including smallholder coffee farmers in places like Indonesia, Nigeria, Ruanda, Ethiopia, Perú, México, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Honduras, Puerto Rico, and Jamaica (Meza 2015;Quiroga et al 2015;Lechthaler and Vinogradova 2017;Fain et al 2018;Guido et al 2018;Hirons et al 2018;Sujatmiko and Ihsaniyati 2018;Hakorimana and Akcaoz 2019;Hernández 2019;Oko-Isu et al 2019). In Guatemala, coffee (Coffea arabica) is planted on 677 000 acres (1 acre 5 0.4 ha), positioning the country among the historical top ten coffee producers in the world from 1990 to 2020 (ICO 2021).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Coffee Yield Next-Generation Forecast System for Rain-Fed Plantations: The Case of the Samalá Watershed in Guatemala

Pons

Muñoz²,

Meléndez³

et al. 2021

Weather and Forecasting

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The provision of climate services has the potential to generate adaptive capacity and help coffee farmers become or remain profitable by integrating climate information in a risk-management framework. Yet, in order to achieve this goal, it is necessary to identify the local demand for climate information, the relationships between coffee yield and climate variables, farmers’ perceptions, and to examine the potential actions that can be realistically put in place by farmers at the local level. In this study, we assessed the climate information demands from coffee farmers and their perception on the climate impacts to coffee yield in the Samalá watershed in Guatemala. After co-identifying the related candidate climate predictors, we propose an objective, flexible forecast system for coffee yield based on precipitation. The system, known as NextGen, analyzes multiple historical climate drivers to identify candidate predictors, and provides both deterministic and probabilistic forecasts for the target season. To illustrate the approach, a NextGen implementation is conducted in the Samalá watershed in southwestern Guatemala. The results suggest that accumulated June-July-August precipitation provides the highest predictive skill associated with coffee yield for this region. In addition to a formal cross-validated skill assessment, retrospective forecasts for the period 1989-2009 were compared to agriculturalists’ perception on the climate impacts to coffee yield at the farm level. We conclude with examples of how demand-based climate service provision in this location can inform adaptation strategies like optimum shade, pest control, and fertilization schemes months in advance. These potential adaptation strategies were validated by local agricultural technicians at the study site.

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Dynamics of coffee output in Nigeria

2022

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Coffee is a strategic cash crop for poverty reduction and economic growth in Nigeria, and it is consumed worldwide, making it a significant source of income at both the micro and macro levels. This study analysed the trends in ' 'Nigeria's coffee output and the short and long-run determinants of coffee output in Nigeria. A period of 38 years was considered and the data were sourced from the Food and Agriculture Organization, the World Bank and the International Coffee Organization. The linear trend and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model were instrumental in the data analysis. The trend analysis reveals that coffee output is decreasing, necessitating immediate action. Fertiliser use and land availability for farmers require extra attention in the short run because they are significant and had a positive impact on coffee output. In the long-run climate change, producer price and fertiliser use negatively impact the coffee farmers' output. The need to make land easily accessible to coffee farmers by amending land use regulations to ensure the conservation and expansion of farmlands is one of the most notable recommendations of this study.

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Coffee Output Reaction to Climate Change and Commodity Price Volatility: The Nigeria Experience

Cited by 4 publications

References 46 publications

An Assessment of Potential Resources for Biomass Energy in Nigeria

An Assessment of Potential Resources for Biomass Energy in Nigeria

A Coffee Yield Next-Generation Forecast System for Rain-Fed Plantations: The Case of the Samalá Watershed in Guatemala

Dynamics of coffee output in Nigeria

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