Florida's rich biodiversity is the product of climatic conditions
Key Messages
Climate Change Impacts on Biodiversity and Ecology• Climate change has differential impacts on: coastal ecosystems, freshwater wetlands, and upland ecosystems. Coastal ecosystems, in particular, are subject to the "squeeze" of human impacts, changing climate, and rising sea levels.• The Florida Keys and the Everglades are particularly vulnerable to sea level rise over the next 50 to 100 years due to their low elevation (typically less than 1 m).• Out of 1,200 species tracked by the Florida Natural Areas Inventory, 25% are likely to lose at least half of their current habitat due to sea level rise alone.• Florida's species have migrated and adapted to climate change in the past, but that ability is severely compromised now due largely to human modification of the landscape. Up to 76% of 236 surveyed species were deemed unlikely to be able to relocate inland in response to rising sea level.• Several keystone species are particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change and the loss of these species can have cascading impacts on natural communities.• Sea turtles are likely to respond to climate change through altered sex ratios of hatchlings, northward movements of rookeries, decreased reproductive output due to storm events, and potential shifts in foraging ground locations.
• BETH STYS ET AL.• Phenology, or the timing of life history events, are likely to change in response to climate shifts, both as the climate becomes warmer but also as it becomes more variable. This is particularly true for plants and can cause major disruptions to co-evolutionary relationships, such as those between pollinators and the plants they pollinate.
Existing Stressors and Climate Change• Habitat loss and degradation are the leading causes of extinctions in Florida and globally.The impacts of climate change on species and natural communities are greatly magnified by decreased adaptive capacity due to habitat loss and degradation.• Many invasive species are projected to have enhanced fitness under future climate change scenarios, potentially causing greater disruption to natural communities.• Climate change is projected to increase the vulnerability of native species to foreign and domestic pathogens and parasites.• Overexploited species have diminished capacity to adapt to climate change, making them especially vulnerable.
Preserving Biodiversity for the Future• Planning for climate change involves impact assessments, adaptation scenario planning, and research and monitoring.• While many of the ways in which species and natural communities respond to climate change are gradual, other changes can be abrupt and non-linear. These so-called thresholds, trigger points, or paradigm shifts are harder to predict, but are often more consequential than linear patterns of change through time.