Concentrated photovoltaics system costs and learning curve analysis

Haysom, Joan E.; Jafarieh, Omid; Anis, Hanan; Hinzer, Karin

doi:10.1063/1.4822240

Cited by 16 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 3 publications

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“…More than 100 MW concentration photovoltaic (CPV) systems have been built around the world [22], and most of the systems used the III-V multi-junction solar cells based on Ge or GaAs substrates. However, the costs of Ge and GaAs substrates were high, the costs of CPV systems were about US$ 3/W in 2012 [23], it is still higher than that of silicon PV systems now. So people try to use silicon solar cells which were much cheaper in CPV systems, and the concentration ratio can be set either high [24] or low [25] corresponding to the structure of the cell.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

A review of concentrator silicon solar cells

Xing

Han

Wang

et al. 2015

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

A review of concentrator silicon solar cells

Xing

Han

Wang

et al. 2015

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews

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“…This paper examines the turn‐key system price as a function of time for a fully installed CPV system in United States dollars per watt ($/W). It updates the price and deployed volume data found in , derives a learning rate with confidence interval (CI) and further presents a comparison with learning rates of CSP and PV systems. In addition, CPV prices are projected into the future and compared with projections of other authors.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Learning curve analysis of concentrated photovoltaic systems

Haysom

Jafarieh

Anis

et al. 2014

Progress in Photovoltaics

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Price declines and volume growth of concentrated photovoltaic (CPV) systems are analysed using the learning curve methodology and compared with other forms of solar electricity generation. Logarithmic regression analysis determines a learning rate of 18% for CPV systems with 90% confidence of that rate being between 14 and 22%, which is higher than the learning rates of other solar generation systems (11% for CSP and 12 to 14% for PV). Current CPV system prices are competitive with PV and CSP, which, when combined with the higher learning rate, indicates that CPV is likely to further improve its marketability. A target price of 1 $/W in 2020 could be achieved with a compound growth rate of 67% for the total deployed volume between 2014 and 2020, which would realize a cumulative deployed volume of 7900 MW. Other projections of deployment volumes from commercial sources are converted using the learning rate into future price scenarios, resulting in predicted prices in the range of 1.1 to 1.3 $/W in 2020.

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“…Considering an active aperture area of 1.0 m 2 and an overall efficiency of 50% for the CPVT system, the cost per produced power, based on the actual prices of all the prototype components procured, was found to be approximately equal to 7.2 €/W. The respective cost for concentrating photovoltaic systems and concentrating solar applications, in general, is estimated to be in the range 3.0-7.5 €/W [54,55]. In any case, the newly acquired know-how in reference to the design and manufacturing of the CPVT system allows for a great margin in cost reduction, especially if a more extended production is considered.…”

Section: Basic Cost Constituents Of the Cpvt Systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

Dynamic simulation and exergetic optimization of a Concentrating Photovoltaic/ Thermal (CPVT) system

et al. 2019

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The design and performance evaluation of a novel parabolic-trough concentrating photovoltaic/thermal (CPVT) system are discussed in the present study. Initially, the system design and manufacturing procedures as well as the characteristics of the system subcomponents are thoroughly illustrated. At a second stage, the findings in regard to the optical quality of the parabolic trough are presented, as obtained through an experimental procedure that utilizes a custom-made measuring device. The device bears a grid of sensors (photodiodes), so that the irradiation distribution on the receiver surface and the achieved concentration ratio can be determined. Besides, the main factors that have a significant effect on the trough optical quality were identified through ray-tracing simulations. The system electrical and thermal performance was subsequently evaluated in a test rig specially developed for that reason. Three variations of the system receiver incorporating different PVmodule and heat-sink designs were evaluated and the prototype CPVT system was found to achieve an overall efficiency approximately equal to 50% (44% thermal and 6% electrical efficiencies, respectively) with a very weak dependency on the operating temperature.

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Concentrated photovoltaics system costs and learning curve analysis

Cited by 16 publications

References 3 publications

A review of concentrator silicon solar cells

A review of concentrator silicon solar cells

Learning curve analysis of concentrated photovoltaic systems

Dynamic simulation and exergetic optimization of a Concentrating Photovoltaic/ Thermal (CPVT) system

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