Conflict with China Revisited: Prospects, Consequences, and Strategies for Deterrence

Dobbins, James; Scobell, Andrew; Burke, Edmund J.; Gompert, David C.; Grossman, Derek; Heginbotham, Eric; Shatz, Howard J.

doi:10.7249/pe248

Cited by 9 publications

(8 citation statements)

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“…Of interest is how China will use its economic and military strengths to resolve territorial disputes in the South and East China Seas, the North Korean problem and its claims over Taiwan (U.S. Department of Defense 2011, White 2012, Wortzel 2013. 3 Even in the absence of any territorial disputes, China's greatly expanded military capacity enhances its political bargaining power and requires reassessment of national strategies security and diplomatic strategies (Dobbins 2011, White 2012).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Measuring hard power: China’s economic growth and military capacity

Robertson

Sin

2015

Defence and Peace Economics

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China's rapid economic development has facilitated a dramatic increase in its military capacity and international security presence. But there is considerable disagreement over how large its economy and military capacity is. Underlying the debate is the fact that market and PPP exchange rate comparisons give very different pictures of China's relative economic size, and neither is the appropriate price deflator with which to compare relative military capacities. We address this issue by deriving a relative military cost (RMC) exchange rate for China which converts RMB to US dollar expenditures in terms of real military services. This shows that both market and PPP exchange rate comparisons of China's real GDP understate its relative military capacity. Nevertheless we also show that the real expansion of China's military capacity over the last decade has been much smaller than its GDP growth, due to the rapidly growing wage costs faced by China's military.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Measuring hard power: China’s economic growth and military capacity

Robertson

Sin

2015

Defence and Peace Economics

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“…Да су ризици већи од бенефита тврдила је и студија угледног RAND-а из 2011. године. 27 Наиме, евентуални сукоб Пекинга и Вашингтона довео би до глобалне кризе која би по свом обиму превазишла и ону из 2008. године. Ескперти RAND-а утврдили су да би економски губици за САД били енормни с обзиром на велику зависност од Кине и њене привреде, а 13 година од објављивања ове студије обим између две економске суперсиле вишеструко се повећао.…”

Section: ) могући сценарио сукобаunclassified

Крећу Ли Се Запад И Кина Ка Економски Узајамно Осигураном Уништењу?

Николић,

Звездановић Лобанова,

Ћурчић

2024

Evropsko zakonodavstvo

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“…In the time frame 2025 and beyond, a conflict involving China and the United States, outside of a North Korean collapse, would involve mostly U.S. air and maritime forces. This is because of the geography of the South China Sea and East China Sea regions but also because the direct defense of territories close to China, such as Taiwan, will become increasingly difficult as Chinese military capabilities grow (Dobbins et al, 2011). This scenario, or portion of a scenario, depicts how future Army artillery capabilities could contribute in such a conflict, which would otherwise involve non-Army forces.…”

Section: China/pacificmentioning

confidence: 99%

Army Fires Capabilities for 2025 and Beyond

Gordon¹,

Mikolic-Torreira²,

Barnett³

et al. 2019

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Conflict with China Revisited: Prospects, Consequences, and Strategies for Deterrence

Cited by 9 publications

References 0 publications

Measuring hard power: China’s economic growth and military capacity

Measuring hard power: China’s economic growth and military capacity

Крећу Ли Се Запад И Кина Ка Економски Узајамно Осигураном Уништењу?

Army Fires Capabilities for 2025 and Beyond

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