2020
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9690
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Control of salinity stratification on recent increase in tropical cyclone intensification rates over the postmonsoon Bay of Bengal

Abstract: This study explores the variability of tropical cyclone (TC) intensification rates (IRs) in the postmonsoon Bay of Bengal (BoB) for the satellite period of 1980–2015. It is found that both number of rapid intensification (RI) events and magnitude of IRs show a robust increase, with a northeastward shift of intensification events. Analyses show that the temporal variability of sea surface temperature dominated the IR variability during 1980–1997. However, the thick barrier layer in the northern BoB was consider… Show more

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Cited by 11 publications
(11 citation statements)
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“…ORAS5 has a horizontal resolution of 0.25° × 0.25° and 75 vertical levels, with the first 31 levels increasing from 1 m at the surface to 200 m in the deep ocean. Compared to the previous version ORAS4 (Balmaseda et al., 2013), ORAS5 has significantly improved the ocean climate state and the variability in terms of SST and sea level, and it has been widely used in previous studies of salinity and BL in the Indian Ocean (Fan et al., 2020; Z. Li et al., 2021; Nie et al., 2020; Roman‐Stork et al., 2020).…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…ORAS5 has a horizontal resolution of 0.25° × 0.25° and 75 vertical levels, with the first 31 levels increasing from 1 m at the surface to 200 m in the deep ocean. Compared to the previous version ORAS4 (Balmaseda et al., 2013), ORAS5 has significantly improved the ocean climate state and the variability in terms of SST and sea level, and it has been widely used in previous studies of salinity and BL in the Indian Ocean (Fan et al., 2020; Z. Li et al., 2021; Nie et al., 2020; Roman‐Stork et al., 2020).…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This results in the accumulation of heat in the Bay of Bengal leading to an increase in the ocean heat content (Anandh et al 2018). Further, it is observed that in the recent decade (1998)(1999)(2000)(2001)(2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008)(2009)(2010)(2011)(2012)(2013)(2014)(2015), there is a fourfold increase in the rapid intensification rate of the post-monsoon Bay of Bengal cyclones (Fan et al 2020). This increase in the rapid intensification cases is associated with the northeastward shift of the cyclone tracks.…”
Section: Observed and Projected Changes In The Ocean-cyclone Interactionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Due to this northeastward shift in the cyclone track, now more cyclones are reaching the northern Bay of Bengal that has low salinity and is highly stratified. Due to the higher stratification, the cyclone-induced cold wake gets suppressed resulting in favorable ocean conditions for the cyclone to gain more energy and undergo rapid intensification (Fan et al 2020).…”
Section: Observed and Projected Changes In The Ocean-cyclone Interactionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…N 2 -temperature is computed by using 0-200 m depth-averaged salinity in the N 2 computation thereby removing the effects from changes in salinity. N 2 -salinity is then estimated as N 2 minus N 2 -temperature (Fan et al, 2020).…”
Section: ∂T ∂Tmentioning
confidence: 99%