Much of the global population now has some level of adaptive immunity to
SARS-CoV-2 induced by exposure to the virus (natural infection),
vaccination, or a combination of both (hybrid immunity). Key questions
that subsequently arise relate to the duration and the level of
protection an individual might expect based on their infection and
vaccination history. A multi-component composite correlate of risk (CoR)
could inform individuals and stakeholders about protection and aid
decision making. This perspective evaluates the various elements that
need to be accommodated in the development of an antibody-based
composite CoR for reinfection with SARS-CoV-2 or development of severe
COVID-19, including variation in exposure dose, transmission route,
viral genetic variation, patient factors, and vaccination status. We
provide an overview of antibody dynamics to aid exploration of the
specifics of SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing. We further discuss
anti-SARS-CoV-2 immunoassays, sample matrices, testing formats,
frequency of sampling and the optimal time point for such sampling.
Whilst the development of a composite CoR is challenging, we provide our
recommendations for each of these key areas and highlight areas that
require further work to be undertaken.