Dare to Dream:<i>Bringing Futures into Planning</i>

Cole, Sam

doi:10.1080/01944360108976246

Cited by 62 publications

(38 citation statements)

References 12 publications

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“…Generally, the authors contend that the various professions engaged in city planning have lost confidence, and competence, in thinking meaningfully about urban futures and demonstrating their capacity to shape and influence change, being [7]:…”

Section: Present Planning Problemmentioning

confidence: 97%

Imagineering city futures: The use of prospective through scenarios in urban planning

Ratcliffe

Krawczyk²

2011

Futures

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Section: Present Planning Problemmentioning

confidence: 97%

Imagineering city futures: The use of prospective through scenarios in urban planning

Ratcliffe

Krawczyk²

2011

Futures

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“…Bell (1997) further characterizes futures research as a transdisciplinary social science and an "action science," with an orientation to informing decision making and action. Futures research is distinct from planning, although Cole (2001) notes a symbiosis between these two fields, and there is a clear but often overlooked link between futures research and strategic planning (Roney 2010). Both futures research and planning may identify preferable futures in terms of vision and goals.…”

Section: An Overview Of Futures Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

Strengthening Environmental Foresight: Potential Contributions of Futures Research

Βengston¹,

Kubik²,

Bishop³

2012

E&S

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ABSTRACT. The need for environmental foresight has increased in recent decades as the pace of change has accelerated and the frequency of surprise has increased. Successfully dealing with the growing impacts of change on social-ecological systems depends on our ability to anticipate change. But traditional scientific tools are blunt instruments for studying a future that does not exist. We propose that futures research, a transdisciplinary field of inquiry that has been developing for more than 50 years, offers an underused but fruitful set of approaches to address this important challenge. A few futures research methods-notably several forms of scenario analysis-have been applied to environmental issues and problems in recent years. But futurists have developed an array of other useful methods for exploring possible, plausible, and preferable futures, important insights into the nature of change, and perspectives for thinking creatively and deeply about the future. We present an overview of futures research and its potential to enrich environmental planning and policy by offering a cross-fertilization of new ideas and approaches, providing a more complete view of emerging environmental problems, and facilitating the development of strategies to increase adaptive capacity and deal more effectively with surprises.

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“…1 An ethnographic study has already been conducted to explore the phenomenon of trend forecasting. The trend forecasting under study is an envisioning kind of futures studies, which is based on an intuitive, storytelling approach to create future visions rather than on a more scientific one as in, e.g., sales forecasting (see : Cole 2001). One of its most original forms is fashion trend forecasting.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Trend forecasting falls in the general category of Futures Studies, an umbrella term for practices studying the future (see : Cole 2001). Futures studies is presented today as a relatively organized practice, with journals, organizations and education programs.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The place and nature of trend forecasting in design debates. An opportunity or threat for design (studies)?

Petermann¹

2014

Proceedings of the 9th Conference of the International Committee for Design History and Design Studies

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This paper examines the place of trend forecasting in contemporary design debates concerning the varying notions of design crafting the future and being a change agent, in order to show the limited understanding of forecasting within these debates. The directive power of trend forecasting remains unacknowledged and therefore underconceptualized in design discourse. It is almost as if forecasting would be an invisible force and an intangible phenomenon. Unacknowledged by critical studies as well, trend forecasting moved from being a prescriptive style advice to a normative practice having effect on major operators of society -another gap this paper indicates. Drawing on empirical research, trend forecasting's trajectory is briefly illustrated. In conclusion this paper discusses whether the integration of such an enlarged understanding of trend forecasting in design studies could deliver an opportunity to enrich discussions on the changing notions of design and even re-gauge the functions of design studies, or whether it is a threat reinforcing the prevalent pluralism within design studies. Finally this paper advocates that only by an in-depth examination of trend forecasting a necessary holistic understanding of this phenomenon can be developed in order to effectively engross these issues.

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Dare to Dream:Bringing Futures into Planning

Cited by 62 publications

References 12 publications

Imagineering city futures: The use of prospective through scenarios in urban planning

Imagineering city futures: The use of prospective through scenarios in urban planning

Strengthening Environmental Foresight: Potential Contributions of Futures Research

The place and nature of trend forecasting in design debates. An opportunity or threat for design (studies)?

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