2020
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-58722-z
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DeepBTS: Prediction of Recurrence-free Survival of Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Using a Time-binned Deep Neural Network

Abstract: Accurate prediction of non-small cell lung cancer (nScLc) prognosis after surgery remains challenging. the cox proportional hazard (pH) model is widely used, however, there are some limitations associated with it. in this study, we developed novel neural network models called binned time survival analysis (DeepBTS) models using 30 clinico-pathological features of surgically resected NSCLC patients (training cohort, n = 1,022; external validation cohort, n = 298). We employed the root-mean-square error (in the … Show more

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Cited by 29 publications
(20 citation statements)
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“…This model outperformed use of the TNM staging system alone in both the remaining 20% of the SEER data (C statistic = 0.739 vs 0.706; P < .001) and an independent validation set of 1182 patients with resected lung cancer treated at Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital in China (C statistic = 0.742 vs 0.706; P < .001). These results are in line with the accuracy of neural network models of recurrence of resected NSCLC 3 and provide additional evidence of the increasing benefit of deep learning prognostic models over standard approaches.…”
supporting
confidence: 77%
“…This model outperformed use of the TNM staging system alone in both the remaining 20% of the SEER data (C statistic = 0.739 vs 0.706; P < .001) and an independent validation set of 1182 patients with resected lung cancer treated at Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital in China (C statistic = 0.742 vs 0.706; P < .001). These results are in line with the accuracy of neural network models of recurrence of resected NSCLC 3 and provide additional evidence of the increasing benefit of deep learning prognostic models over standard approaches.…”
supporting
confidence: 77%
“…However, accurate postoperative prediction of NSCLC remains challenging. Lee et al [ 45 ] developed a survival analysis model based on a multilayer perceptron with semi-supervised learning neural networks to predict the 3-year postoperative recurrence risk of NSCLC patients, which outperformed the CPHM. Ensemble learning has been applied to many relevant assisted medical systems.…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Although genomic information gives a new idea of developing prognosis prediction models, accuracy of these models has not worked out as intended, thus researchers set their sights on combining clinical data and heterogeneously expressed gene (46)(47)(48). For example, Lai et al combined seven well-known biomarkers and eight differentially expressed gene biomarkers based on microarray data with clinical information to build a deep neural network, reaching 0.8163 for AUC of ROC in predicting the 5-year survival of NSCLC patients (47), which is significantly higher than the models above in the 5-year survival prediction.…”
Section: Prognosis Based On Genomicsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, Lai et al combined seven well-known biomarkers and eight differentially expressed gene biomarkers based on microarray data with clinical information to build a deep neural network, reaching 0.8163 for AUC of ROC in predicting the 5-year survival of NSCLC patients (47), which is significantly higher than the models above in the 5-year survival prediction. Furthermore, other researchers developed binned time survival analysis (DeepBTS) models to select 14 features for prognosis prediction, which avoided manually assuming proportional hazards and approximating survival data of Cox proportional hazard model (46). In the future, DeepBTS has the potential to combine imaging information, genomic and clinicopathologic data to improve its performance.…”
Section: Prognosis Based On Genomicsmentioning
confidence: 99%