“…Here, we provide a way that can be used, in principle, to estimate the probability of quenched microstates as a function of material parameters (plastic strain, size, and hardening coefficients). 2 The evidence for quenched disorder in initial defect microstructures has been accumulated through observations of abrupt plastic events or material-crackling noise in a large variety of materials, such as FCC and BCC crystals, [3][4][5][6] amorphous solids 7 and also earthquake geological faults. 8,9 This crackling noise 10 has been commonly explained by random field models 11,12 or interface depinning ones, [13][14][15][16][17][18] where the major component is homogeneous solid elasticity, but also a spatially inhomogeneous and random distribution of local, quenched disorder (typically entering local flow stress information) 4,17,[19][20][21] and the allowed microstates are characterized by its stress and strain and minimize the elastic energy functional.…”