Demografsko starenje stanovništva Šibensko-kninske županije: grandparent boom

Mrđen, Snježana; Barić, Dolores

doi:10.15291/geoadria.26

Cited by 3 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…These articles mainly dealt with general demographic analyzes or analyzes of certain structures at the level of the country, geographical regions, counties ( županije ), and lower administrative units. In other studies, the war period and its impact are treated as part of chronologically longer demographic analyzes, or it is cited as a key event that accelerated and intensified pre-existing demographic processes (Pokos 1999; Živić 2003, 2008; Pejnović 2004; Nejašmić and Toskic 2013, 2016; Đurđev, Livada, and Arsenović 2014; Nejašmić 2014; Mrđen and Barić 2016; Kokotović-Kanazir, Filipović, and Panić 2016). As expected, the consequences were most pronounced in the area that was directly affected by the war.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of the War in Croatia (1991-1995) on the Differentiation of Age Structure between Serbs and Croats: A Case Study of the Banija Region

Kovjanić

Pavlovic

Živanović

et al. 2021

Nationalities Papers

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Aging is the subject of various studies by the scientific community and monitoring by responsible institutions. The intensity of aging and the proportion of age groups among various communities differ due to different socio-economic conditions and characteristics. This article researches the impact of the war in Croatia 1991–1995 and postwar living conditions on the divergence of population aging in the ethnically heterogeneous Banija region. The first postwar census in 2001 recorded a population decline of 44.9% compared to the 1991 census. We analyze the effects of the war on changes in ethnic and age structure, as well as their interrelations. The quantitative and qualitative magnitude of these demographic changes in the inter-census period had a decisive influence on the correlation of age and ethnic structure. The article examines whether the relative share of Serbs or Croats in the total population of a settlement affects the average age of the settlement. The results confirmed that the Serbs are older than the Croats, and are in the phase of the most advanced demographic age. These changes raise the question of the demographic future and the biological viability of the Serbs, who were the majority in the region before the war.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of the War in Croatia (1991-1995) on the Differentiation of Age Structure between Serbs and Croats: A Case Study of the Banija Region

Kovjanić

Pavlovic

Živanović

et al. 2021

Nationalities Papers

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“…At the beginning of the 1970s, the Town of Knin had a younger population compared to coastal regions, a situation which characterized many other parts of the northern Dalmatian hinterlands, mostly due to their higher birth rates. The Town of Knin was on the threshold of demographic old age (Mrđen, Barić, 2016), with its median age of 30 years.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Utjecaj ratnih i poratnih migracija na demografsku sliku Grada Knina (1991. – 2011.)

Mrđen¹,

Jurić²

2018

Geoadria

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U radu se analiziraju promjene u ukupnom kretanju broja stanovnika u naseljima Grada Knina u posljednja dva međupopisna razdoblja (1991. -2001., 2001. -2011.) te promjene u narodnosnoj strukturi stanovništva. Budući da je rat prouzročio prisilne migracije koje su odredile demografske procese na tom području, posebna pažnja pridaje se proučavanju migracijskih obilježja stanovništva. Rezultati analize pokazuju da su se najveće promjene u demografskoj slici toga područja dogodile u međupopisnom razdoblju 1991. -2001. Obje komponente (prirodno i mehaničko kretanje) koje su bile negativne dovele su do znatnog pada broja stanovnika te do izrazitog smanjivanja autohtonog stanovništva. Posljedica toga je promjena narodnosne strukture. Predratno srpsko stanovništvo smanjeno je za više od tri četvrtine, a doseljavanje stanovništva iz ostalih dijelova Hrvatske te iz Bosne i Hercegovine dovelo je do prevage Hrvata. Unatoč pozitivnom migracijskom saldu u posljednjem međupopisnom razdoblju, u većini naselja, koje obuhvaća ovo istraživanje, nepovoljni demografski procesi, okarakterizirani negativnom prirodnom promjenom te demografskim starenjem stanovništva, upućuju na nastavak depopulacije koja će u nekim naseljima dovesti do demografskog izumiranja. Ključne riječi: migracija, autohtono stanovništvo, narodnosni sastav, naselja, Grad KninThe purpose of this paper is to analyze changes in the total population change in the settlements of the Town of Knin in the last two intercensal periods (1991)(1992)(1993)(1994)(1995)(1996)(1997)(1998)(1999)(2000)(2001)(2001)(2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008)(2009)(2010)(2011), as well as the changes in the ethnic composition. As the war caused forced migrations which largely determined demographic processes in this region, a special attention in this research was given to the migration features of the population. The results of this research indicate that the greatest changes occurred in the 1991-2001 intercensal period. Both components of growth (natural increase and migration) were negative and caused a significant decrease of the indigenous population. This transformed the ethnic structure of the region; pre-war Serb population decreased by more than three quarters, while the influx of people from other parts of Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina resulted in the predominance of the Croat population. Although the region experienced a positive net migration in the last intercensal period, unfavourable demographic processes characterized by negative natural population change and demographic ageing occurred in most settlements included in 87 UVODKraj 20. i početak 21. stoljeća u Hrvatskoj i u državama u regiji obilježen je dramatičnim političkim i društveno-ekonomskim promjenama koje su se odrazile na populacijska kretanja. U prvom redu, zbog ratnih zbivanja došlo je do velikih unutarnjih i vanjskih migracija. Broj raseljenih osoba na teritoriju bivše Jugoslavije dosegnuo je potkraj 1993. godine maksimum od 2,5 milijuna osoba (Hovy, 2011.). U Hrvatskoj je u ratnom i razdoblju 1991....

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Inland-coastal demographic transformations in a karst area: a case study of the surroundings of Krka National Park (Croatia)

2022

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According to geographic possibilism, environment does not determine socio-economic development. However, the environment sets certain constraints and limitations for development. How do natural settings influence population dynamics? In this study, we examine this question using the example of Šibenik-Knin County, which includes Krka National Park (NP) with a GIS-based statistical approach. The following parameters represent natural factors: elevation, slope, distance from water, and proportion of karst areas. In addition, distance from Krka NP was also added as an independent semi-natural factor (despite the fact that it is a social construction). The dependent social parameters are population density for selected historical dates, population change, year of maximum population, natural increase, migration, and age index. The analysis units are the 199 settlements found in the county, and the 20 local administrative units (LAU2). The study period can be divided into five phases: from the first census in 1857 to 1921, there was a slow increase in most settlements; then a relatively constant phase up to 1961 (some settlements began shrinking in this period); a slow decrease until 1991; a rapid decrease during the next decade; and relative stabilisation to present day. These processes were also accompanied by significant inner and outer migrations. As for the relationships between natural and demographic factors, we found that although the coastal-inland area dichotomy is dominant in the study area, elevation has the highest correlation with most population parameters. However, distance from water is also significantly correlated with population change and migration in certain periods. In the inland areas, there are statistically significant differences between the demographic processes of fully-karstic and partially-karstic areas, while in the coastal zone, the karst effect is overshadowed by other social processes. The impact of Krka NP on the demographic characteristics of the surrounding settlements was statistically not detectable. Our final conclusion is that correlations between natural and population parameters are low or moderately strong but statistically significant in many cases, thus the basic principles of geographic possibilism are valid for the area.

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Demografsko starenje stanovništva Šibensko-kninske županije: grandparent boom

Cited by 3 publications

References 6 publications

Impact of the War in Croatia (1991-1995) on the Differentiation of Age Structure between Serbs and Croats: A Case Study of the Banija Region

Impact of the War in Croatia (1991-1995) on the Differentiation of Age Structure between Serbs and Croats: A Case Study of the Banija Region

Utjecaj ratnih i poratnih migracija na demografsku sliku Grada Knina (1991. – 2011.)

Inland-coastal demographic transformations in a karst area: a case study of the surroundings of Krka National Park (Croatia)

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