Demographic Security of Ukraine: Indicators, Level, Threats

Grishnova, Оlena; Kharazishvili, Yu.M.

doi:10.15407/dse2019.02.065

Cited by 14 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 4 publications

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“…With the available statistics with regard to the indicators of economically developed countries, we calculated the vectors of the threshold values of indicators of social safety of society in Ukraine from the standpoint of sustainable development while using the equations we had previously developed, the t-test technique, and the modelling method (Table 2) [54][55][56]. Identification of the safety level.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Due to the fact that a study of distinct social safety objects has been already conducted [54][55][56], this article explores a more complex object within the "system-subsystem" hierarchy. To be precise, the research object is social safety as a system-a whole, which is something more than a simple sum of the individual subsystems' properties: The standard of living, the quality of life, and a demographic component.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Defining the structure and boundaries of safe existence. In line with our understanding of social safety of society, we distinguish the following basic components in its system: The standard of living (material/financial means for life) [54]; a demographic component (security of the demographic and reproductive processes) [55], and a social component of the quality of life (possibilities of preserving health, obtaining education, having safe life) [56].…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Social Safety of Society for Developing Countries to Meet Sustainable Development Standards: Indicators, Level, Strategic Benchmarks (with Calculations Based on the Case Study of Ukraine)

et al. 2020

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The paper is devoted to identifying the level of social safety of society, taking into account the indicators of shadow economy, and developing its strategic scenarios as a component of sustainable development of Ukraine by 2030. The authors used the modern methods of normalisation, threshold vector determination, and dynamic weight coefficients in order to identify the level of social safety of society. The authors developed the structure and a list of indicators considering three components of social safety: The standard of living, the demographic component, and the quality of life. This method allows determining the list and severity of threats, comparing the dynamics of integral indices with integral thresholds in one scale, identifying the state of security, and defining strategic goals and strategies. The suggested approach is universal and can be used by any country, region, economic activity, or business to develop evidence-based medium-to-long-term sustainable development scenarios.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Social Safety of Society for Developing Countries to Meet Sustainable Development Standards: Indicators, Level, Strategic Benchmarks (with Calculations Based on the Case Study of Ukraine)

et al. 2020

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“…net reproduction rate per a woman). The similar index structure is represented in a study by Grishnova and Kharazishvili (2019). We believe, that disadvantage of the structure of demographic security index is as follows: it cannot involve certain important demographic tendencies, namely, nature of age structure, changes in the age structure, and development of migration processes.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 94%

“…The method of integral evaluation of the security level is rather popular in Ukrainian practices of economic security metrics. Studies by Kharazishvili (2019), Grishnova and Kharazishvili (2019), and Tsvihun (2013) are the most critical research. They represent the calculation of an integral index of demographic security tested in terms of Ukraine or its regions.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Evaluation of Demographic Component of Countries’ Economic Security

Hrybinenko

Bulatova

Zakharova

2020

Business, Management and Education

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Purpose – The article is aimed at evaluation of the patterns of demographic processes development in terms of their impact on shaping the level of countries’ economic security. Research methodology – The study is based on a multidimensional estimation technique, which proposes the development of an integral indicator of the demographic component of countries’ economic security. Stochastic research methods, in particular the t-test method, were used to identify and justify different hazard zones. Findings – On the basis of the formed sample of the countries, the integral indices of the level of the demographic component of countries’ economic security for the period of 2000–2018 were calculated. The thresholds of demographic security indicators were identified and reasoned; the countries’ security risks by demographic indicators were assessed; systematisation of countries according to the level of the demographic component of security was provided. Research limitations – It is proposed to include ten indicators in the structure of the index of the demographic component of economic security; these indicators characterise different aspects of the demographic processes development. However, this is not a complete list of possible valuation indicators. This determines the necessity of further studies in terms of justifying the advisability of including various parameters and assessing the degree of their importance in the structure of the demographic security index. Practical implications – The practical value of the results of the comprehensive analysis of the demographic processes development in the system of ensuring countries’ economic security is the possibility of identifying real or potential threats to the sustainable social and economic development of countries and regions of the world. Originality/Value – The authors’ improved methodology for assessing the level of economic security based on the demographic component consideration, taking into account the system of proposed indices, allows to assess the level of security, to monitor its changes and to identify factors that pose risks not only for one country but also for groups of countries both in regional dimension and in terms of the level of their development.

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Analysis, Assessment and Forecasting of the Demographic Sphere of Economic Security

Voloshchuk¹

2020

Control syst. comput.

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The performed forecasting of indicators of the state of the demographic sphere of Ukraine using the methods of adaptive forecasting, ARIMA and exponential smoothing speaks of greater accuracy and efficiency of ARIMA and adaptive forecasting, using these methods ineffective management decisions in the demographic sphere of Ukraine, while adaptive forecasting was more accurate when forecasting certain indicators of the demographic security sphere.

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Demographic Security of Ukraine: Indicators, Level, Threats

Cited by 14 publications

References 4 publications

Social Safety of Society for Developing Countries to Meet Sustainable Development Standards: Indicators, Level, Strategic Benchmarks (with Calculations Based on the Case Study of Ukraine)

Social Safety of Society for Developing Countries to Meet Sustainable Development Standards: Indicators, Level, Strategic Benchmarks (with Calculations Based on the Case Study of Ukraine)

Evaluation of Demographic Component of Countries’ Economic Security

Analysis, Assessment and Forecasting of the Demographic Sphere of Economic Security

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