Context
The cost-effectiveness of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine
(PCV13) compared with 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23)
among US adults is unclear.
Objective
To estimate the cost-effectiveness of PCV13 vaccination strategies in
adults to assist vaccination policy decision-making.
Design, Setting, and Population
A Markov state-transition model, lifetime time horizon, societal
perspective. Simulations were performed in hypothetical cohorts of US
50-year-olds. Vaccination strategies and effectiveness estimates were
developed by a Delphi expert panel; indirect (herd immunity) effects
resulting from childhood PCV13 vaccination were extrapolated based on
observed PCV7 effects. Data sources for model parameters included CDC Active
Bacterial Core surveillance, National Hospital Discharge Survey and
Nationwide Inpatient Sample data, and the National Health Interview
Survey.
Main Outcome Measures
Pneumococcal disease cases prevented and incremental costs per
quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained.
Results
In the base case scenario, PCV13 given as a substitute for PPSV23 in
current recommendations (i.e., vaccination at 65 years and at younger ages
if comorbidities are present) cost $28,900/QALY gained compared with no
vaccination and was more cost-effective than the currently recommended
PPSV23 strategy. Routine PCV13 at ages 50 and 65 years cost $45,100/QALY
compared with PCV13 substituted in current recommendations. Adding PPSV23 at
age 75 to PCV13 at ages 50 and 65 years gained 0.00002 QALYs, costing
$496,000/QALY gained. Results were robust in sensitivity analyses and
alternative scenarios, except when low PCV13 effectiveness against
nonbacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia was assumed or when greater childhood
vaccination indirect effects were modeled. In these cases, PPSV23 as
currently recommended was favored.
Conclusions
Overall, PCV13 vaccination was favored compared to PPSV23, but the
analysis is sensitive to assumptions about PCV13 effectiveness against NPP
and the magnitude of potential indirect effects from childhood PCV13 on
pneumococcal serotype distribution.