Development of ALOHa-G Risk Score for Detecting Postpartum Dyslipidemia Among Normoglycemic Women with Previous Gestational Diabetes: Observational Cohort Study

Abstract

Introduction: Previous gestational diabetes (pGD) is associated with a high risk of postpartum dyslipidemia (pD). Our study was aimed at investigating the prevalence of pD and estimating the risk for pD based on metabolic pregnancy parameters in normoglycemic women with pGD. Methods: 147 women with pGD and normoglycemia after delivery were divided into groups: A (n = 63) with pD and B (n = 84) with normal lipids, defined by the National Cholesterol Education Program's Expert Panel on Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Cholesterol in Adults (Adult Treatment Panel III) Final Report (NCEP ATP III). We recorded age, body mass index (BMI) at conception, fasting glucose (FG), HbA1c, total cholesterol (TC), triglycerides (Tg), low-density lipoprotein (LDL-c), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c) measured mid-pregnancy and 1-6 months after delivery. GD was diagnosed by 2 h oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) between the 24th and the 28th week of gestation, which was repeated after delivery to confirm normoglycemia. Results: 42.8% had pD (group A) while 57.2% had normal lipids (group B). Group A was older (36.8 ± 2.7) than B (33.0 ± 4.2 years, p \ 0.001) and had a higher BMI (A 31.2 ± 6.4 vs. B 25.5 ± 2.4 kg/m 2 , p \ 0.001). Simultaneously, HbA1c and FG were higher in group A (5.4 ± 0.3, 5.1 ± 0.4) than B (5.2 ± 0.0%, p = 0.001; 4.8 ± 0.0 mmol/L, p \ 0.001). Also, group A had higher TC, LDL-c, and Tg [6.6 (6.1-6.9); 4.2 ± 0.4; 2.9 ± 0.8] compared to B [6.2 (5.4-6.9), p \ 0.001; 3.4 ± 0.9, p = 0.001; 2.5 ± 0.6, p \ 0.001], while the two groups had comparable HDL-c (A: 1.2 ± 0.3 vs. B: 1.2 ± 0.2 mmol/L, p = 0.998). Calculating the cutoff for age, BMI, HbA1c, FG, and Tg ([ 35 years, 26.4 kg/m 2 , 5.2%, 4.8, 3.9 and 2.7 mmol/L, respectively), univariate regression analysis showed a difference for each (p \ 0.001). Allocating 1 point to each predictor, we developed ALOHa G score, which showed high