2017
DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.12164
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Do Business Relationships Affect the Accuracy of Analyst Earnings Forecasts? Evidence from China

Abstract: Supporting the "conflicts of interest hypothesis," we show that, in China, better-informed analysts issue more optimistically biased forecasts and the reputation of financial analysts mitigates the bias. We contribute to the literature by showing that such an adverse information effect varies over types of investment banking relationships and a better developed local legal environment reduces forecast bias. Our results call for a better developed market mechanism to discipline analysts so as to issue independe… Show more

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Cited by 10 publications
(8 citation statements)
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References 62 publications
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“…See, for example,Dugar and Nathan [1995],Lin and McNichols [1998],Michaely and Womack [1999], O'Brien, McNichols, andLin [2005],Clarke et al [2006],Barber, Lehavy, and Trueman [2007],Chan, Karceski, and Lakonishok [2007],Ljungqvist et al [2007],Agrawal and Chen [2008],Barniv et al [2009],Kadan et al [2009],Ke and Yu [2009],Chang and Choi [2017],and Wang, Wei, and Han [2017].…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…See, for example,Dugar and Nathan [1995],Lin and McNichols [1998],Michaely and Womack [1999], O'Brien, McNichols, andLin [2005],Clarke et al [2006],Barber, Lehavy, and Trueman [2007],Chan, Karceski, and Lakonishok [2007],Ljungqvist et al [2007],Agrawal and Chen [2008],Barniv et al [2009],Kadan et al [2009],Ke and Yu [2009],Chang and Choi [2017],and Wang, Wei, and Han [2017].…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…() and Wang et al . () also show the optimistic bias in better informed analysts’ forecasts.The idea of cryptocurrency and blockchain was born in 2008. Therefore, investors in cryptocurrency are in general young and willing to accept new ideas.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 83%
“…Wang et al . () verify the feasibility of using the triangular no‐arbitrage condition in foreign exchange markets to estimate exchange rates through bitcoin. Cheah and Fry () and Cheung et al .…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 86%
“…On the other hand, there are still some irregularities in the securities analyst industry in China, such as the quality of securities analysts is uneven, and the interest collusion between analysts and listed companies, etc. (Wang, Wei & Han, 2017). Therefore, in China's securities market, whether securities analysts provide valuable incremental information, whether they play the role of information competition or information supplement, is still worthy of further discussion.…”
Section: Securities Analystsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, another view is that the quality of securities analysts in China is uneven, and some analysts are even reported to collude with listed companies. Investors pay little attention to analyst reports due to their poor quality (Wang, Wei & Han, 2017).Therefore, analysts do not play the role of information competition or information supplement. Therefore, this paper puts forward the following two opposite theoretical hypotheses: H3a: After removing the investor sentiment component in the market reaction of the information announcement, securities analyst demonstrate the role of information competition or information supplement.…”
Section: Theoretical Hypothesismentioning
confidence: 99%