Do Climate Change and El Niño Increase Likelihood of Yangtze River Extreme Rainfall?

Concurrent increases in wet and dry extremes projected in Texas and combined effects on groundwater

“…Both intense drought and excessive precipitation are projected to increase towards the middle of the 21st century and this projection is associated with a strengthened relation with ENSO teleconnections. The findings presented here echo the documented effect of El Niño in strengthening the anthropogenic warming-induced increase in summer rainfall elsewhere in the world, such as central China (Yuan et al 2018). Despite the projected increase in precipitation over the SGP, groundwater storage is anticipated to decrease with diminishing groundwater recharge; this is primarily due to the surface warming and projected increase in summer drought that reduces infiltration.…”

Explaining Extreme Events of 2017 from a Climate Perspective

“…FAR is the fractional contribution of human activity to a particular event, and PR is the factor by which the probability of an event has changed under anthropogenic forcing . Bootstrapping was performed 1000 times to estimate the FAR and PR uncertainty (Yuan et al 2018a). To identify the significance level of the difference between ALL and NAT forcings for a given period, p values were calculated using the block bootstrap resampling approach of Singh et al (2014).…”

Attribution of the Persistent Spring–Summer Hot and Dry Extremes over Northeast China in 2017

“…FAR is the fractional contribution of human activity to a particular event, and PR is the factor by which the probability of an event has changed under anthropogenic forcing (Ma et al 2017). Bootstrapping was performed 1000 times to estimate the FAR and PR uncertainty (Yuan et al 2018a). To identify the significance level of the difference between ALL and NAT forcings for a given period, p values were calculated using the block bootstrap resampling approach of Singh et al (2014).…”