Do Intensified Police Controls Change Perceptions of Apprehension Probability: A Field Experiment

Terpstra, B.L.; Velthoven, B.C.J. van; Wijck, P.W. van

doi:10.1177/0011128719833354

Cited by 4 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 23 publications

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“…Interestingly, she observed no change in perceptions among young men who already had an arrest record by the time they reached the age of majority. Terpstra et al (2020) investigated the perceived effects of a police crackdown on moped drivers in the Netherlands. They used questionnaires to study whether stopped drivers perceived 7 One reason the operation might not have been more widely perceived by residents has to do with high replacement rates in drug markets.…”

Section: Law In Action: Perceptions Of Sanctioning Regimesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sanctions, Perceptions, and Crime

Apel

2022

Annu. Rev. Criminol.

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The interplay of sanctions, perceptions, and crime has special significance in criminology and is central to a long tradition of perceptual deterrence research as well as to more recent scholarship on crime decision-making. This article seeks to review this body of research as it pertains to three basic questions. First, are people's perceptions of punishment accurate? The evidence indicates that people are generally but imperfectly aware of punishments allowed under the law but are nevertheless sensitive to changes in enforcement, especially of behaviors that are personally relevant. Second, does potential apprehension affect people's perceived risk and behavior when faced with a criminal opportunity? A highly varied body of literature supports the conclusion that perceptions are sensitive to situational cues and that behavior is sensitive to perceived risk, but these links can be weakened when individuals are in emotionally or socially charged situations. Third, do people revise their risk perceptions in response to crime and punishment experiences? Studies of perceptual change support the contention that people systematically update their perceptions based on their own and others’ experiences with crime and punishment. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Criminology, Volume 5 is January 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.

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Section: Law In Action: Perceptions Of Sanctioning Regimesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sanctions, Perceptions, and Crime

Apel

2022

Annu. Rev. Criminol.

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“…Although relatively little attention has been paid to the factors that influence variation in perception of detection risk, there is a small body of experimental and observational work that is informative. Terpstra et al (2020) worked with police in the Netherlands to experimentally manipulate the rate of police traffic stops for moped riders. Police checkpoints are a common occurrence in the Netherlands, but during treatment periods the checkpoints were set up more frequently and moped riders were targeted to be stopped and checked for proper documentation (license, insurance).…”

Section: Research On Perception Of Detection Riskmentioning

confidence: 99%

Using risk of crime detection to study change in mechanisms of decision making.

Barnes,

Moffitt,

Tanksley

et al. 2024

Journal of Personality and Social Psychology

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Perceptions of crime detection risk (e.g., risk of arrest) play an integral role in the criminal decision-making process. Yet, the sources of variation in those perceptions are not well understood. Do individuals respond to changes in legal policy or is perception of detection risk shaped like other perceptions-by experience, heuristics, and with biases? We applied a developmental perspective to study self-reported perception of detection risk. We test four hypotheses against data from the Dunedin Longitudinal Study (analytic sample of N = 985 New Zealanders), a study that spans 20 years of development (Ages 18-38, years 1990(Ages 18-38, years -2011. We reach four conclusions: (1) people form their perception of detection risk early in the life course; (2) perception of detection risk may be general rather than unique to each crime type; (3) population-level perceptions are stable between adolescence and adulthood; but (4) people update their perceptions when their life circumstances change. The importance of these findings for future theoretical and policy work is considered.

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Addressing the ‘Dirty Little Secret’ of Deterrence: Testing the Effects of Increased Police Presence on Perceptions of Arrest Risk

Bucci

2023

J Quant Criminol

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Do Intensified Police Controls Change Perceptions of Apprehension Probability: A Field Experiment

Cited by 4 publications

References 23 publications

Sanctions, Perceptions, and Crime

Sanctions, Perceptions, and Crime

Using risk of crime detection to study change in mechanisms of decision making.

Addressing the ‘Dirty Little Secret’ of Deterrence: Testing the Effects of Increased Police Presence on Perceptions of Arrest Risk

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