. The primary objectives of the Blade-Scaling Study are to assess the scaling of current materials and manufacturing technologies for blades of 40 to 60 meters in length, and to develop scaling curves of estimated cost and mass for rotor blades in that size range.
ApproachWe investigated the scaling of current materials and manufacturing technologies for wind turbine blades of 40 to 60 meters in length. Direct design calculations were used to construct a computational blade-scaling model, which was then used to calculate structural properties for a wide range of aerodynamic designs and rotor sizes. Industry manufacturing experience was used to develop cost estimates based on blade mass, surface area, and the duration of the assumed production run. The structural design model was also used to perform a series of parametric analyses. The results quantify the mass and cost savings possible for specific modifications to the baseline blade design, demonstrate the aerodynamic and structural trade-offs involved, and identify the constraints and practical limits to each modification.
Conclusions and ResultsThe scaling-model results were compared with mass data for current commercial blades. For a given blade design, the scaling model indicates that blade mass and costs scale as a near-cubic of rotor diameter. In contrast, commercial blade designs have maintained a scaling exponent closer to 2.4 for lengths ranging between 20 and 40 meters. Results from the scaling study indicate that:• To realize this lower scaling exponent on cost and mass has required significant evolution of the aerodynamic and structural designs.• Commercial blades at the upper end of the current size range are already pushing the limits of what can be achieved using conventional manufacturing methods and materials.• For even larger blades, avoiding a near-cubic mass increase will require basic changes in:− Materials, such as carbon or glass/carbon hybrids. − Manufacturing processes that can yield better mean properties and/or reduced property scatter through improvements in fiber alignment, compaction, and void reduction. The extent to which such improvements would result in lower blade masses may be constrained by blade stiffness requirements. − Load-mitigating rotor designs.For the scaling results presented in this report, the basic material and manufacturing process remained unchanged. As such, a reduction in mass will correspond to a reduction of production iii blade costs in the same proportion. However, this will not hold true for mass savings realized through changes in materials, process, and rotor design. In evaluating each such change, the implications on both mass and cost must be considered.As part of the cost analysis, it was shown that the "learning curve" required to achieve a mature production process has a meaningful effect on blade costs for the range of rotor sizes considered. A production rate of 200 megawatts (MW) per year implies 800 blades at 750 kilowatts (kW), but only 120 blades at 5 MW. Therefore, the cost penalty for ini...