Dynamic demographics and economic growth in Vietnam

Nguyen, Thi Minh Hue

doi:10.1080/13547860903169365

Cited by 11 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 3 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…According to models (2) and ( 3), there is a negative but insignificant relationship between dependency ratios and the likelihood of growth accelerations. The negative link between age dependency ratios and economic growth is consistent with the theory and previous studies (Bloom et al, 1999;Yasin, 2008;Minh, 2009;Iqbal, 2015;Olanipekun & Akeju, 2017;Ursavaş & Sarıbaş, 2020). The working-age tends to consume less and save a larger share of their income than the younger and older population.…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 90%

Büyüme İvmelenmesi ve Demografik Yapı: ECOWAS Ülkeleri Örneği

Ursavaş

2022

Fiscaoeconomia

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The demographic structure of countries has significant effects on economic growth. Most developing countries are passing through a demographic transition. Although African countries still have higher fertility rates than other developing countries, fertility rates show a decreasing trend, which leads to a window of opportunity for potential demographic dividend for African countries. Within this context, this paper investigates the relationship between growth accelerations and demographic structure in ECOWAS (Economic Community of West African States) countries over the period 1961-2019. To do so, first, we identify the growth acceleration episodes using the growth acceleration methodology developed by Hausmann et al. (2005). Then, we test the demographic determinants of growth accelerations employing the panel probit regression method. The results show that while urban population and life expectancy have a significant and positive impact on the likelihood of growth accelerations, the fertility rate has a negative and significant impact on the probability of growth accelerations. In other words, an increase in urban population and life expectancy at birth increases the likelihood of growth accelerations, whereas an increase in fertility rate decreases the probability. However, the results show a negative but statistically insignificant relationship between age dependency, young-age dependency, and old-age dependency ratios and the likelihood of growth accelerations.

show abstract

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 90%

Büyüme İvmelenmesi ve Demografik Yapı: ECOWAS Ülkeleri Örneği

Ursavaş

2022

Fiscaoeconomia

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Similarly, the proportion of the population living in an urban setting is also expected to increase from 37 per cent in 2020 to 45 per cent in 2030 and, by 2050, more than half of the country's population is expected to live in urban areas (Jiang and O'Neill 2017). Moreover, changes in population demographics such as more educated people, more working-age people in the labour market (Minh 2009) and women in the labour force (Banerji et al 2018) are expected. These factors are likely to accelerate the changes in food consumption patterns in Vietnam.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Changing food consumption patterns in rural and urban Vietnam: Implications for a future food supply system

Bairagi

Mohanty

Baruah

et al. 2020

Aus J Agri & Res Econ

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Rapid income growth and urbanisation could significantly change the composition of the food basket in many emerging economies. This study estimates a demand system, including 15 major food items in Vietnam, with multiyear household survey data. We find a large variation in the estimated price elasticities (-0.05 to -0.88) and expenditure elasticities (-0.16 to 2.56). Food types, urban status and income groups can explain this variation. We also find that the staple food, rice, is already an inferior good for rich urban households in Vietnam. Moreover, food preferences are evolving away from rice but towards animal proteins (fish, pork, chicken, eggs and milk), fruits and vegetables, irrespective of urban status and income groups. As the Vietnam economy continues to grow with a doubling of gross domestic product (GDP) in the next decade, per capita rice consumption in both urban and rural areas and across different income groups will continue to decline, whereas demand for other high-value products will rise. Thus, government policy should focus on encouraging demand-oriented food production. In addition, crop diversification at the farm level needs to improve substantially to meet the rising demand for these food products due to income growth and urbanisation.

show abstract

“…Likewise, Minh (2009) studied the "Dynamic Demographic and Economic Growth in Vietnam" and found that there is 15% contribution of demographic change on economic growth of the country based on 2002, 2004, and 2006 for 61 provinces with an OLS method. In Vietnam case a considerable increase in labor force and decrease in dependency rate has been seen.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impacts of population aging on Turkey s economic growth: an empirical analysis with ARDL model

Moradi¹,

Uslu²

2020

Pressacademia

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Purpose -Labor and labor productivity concepts, which have an important role in growth dynamics, have found a serious research area especially in developing countries due to the population aging. Many researchers have focused on the effect of population aging on economic growth of some developed countries like China, Japan, Malaysia and those countries where the old people share are growing fast or have a large share in total population. This condition, which causes the emphasis on production factors, labor migration and factor productivity concepts, is the main motivation of this study. Methodology -In order to find the relationship between population aging and economic growth in Turkey, an ARDL model has been used for 1970-2018-time period. This time period was selected due to availability of data for selected variables. The long run and short run models are estimates by Eviews 10 software. Findings-The results illustrate that the population aging negatively affect Turkey's economy in either short-run or long-run. Based on this model's results, Turkey's economy is negatively influenced by population aging 0.029 percent in long-run and 0.084 percent in short-run periods which the coefficients are significant at 0.5 and 0.1 levels respectively. Conclusion-The rates of fertility and death both have been decreasing while the rate of life expectancy has been increasing gradually during last three decades in Turkey showing a negative effect from population aging on economic growth of Turkey. These signs are associate with this study's result.

show abstract

Dynamic demographics and economic growth in Vietnam

Cited by 11 publications

References 3 publications

Büyüme İvmelenmesi ve Demografik Yapı: ECOWAS Ülkeleri Örneği

Büyüme İvmelenmesi ve Demografik Yapı: ECOWAS Ülkeleri Örneği

Changing food consumption patterns in rural and urban Vietnam: Implications for a future food supply system

The impacts of population aging on Turkey s economic growth: an empirical analysis with ARDL model

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About