Dynamic impact of negative public sentiment on agricultural product prices during COVID-19

Liu, Sha; Ye, Deping; Tang, Hong; Wang, Fang

doi:10.1016/j.jretconser.2021.102790

Cited by 30 publications

(18 citation statements)

References 92 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Over time, the negative emotions in all three user groups had a downward trend, which was similar to the research results in previous studies ( Liu et al, 2022 ; Yang et al, 2022 ). With the implementation of prevention and control measures and the popularization of knowledge related to the epidemic, people’s fear was also being alleviated.…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 90%

Public Social Media Discussions on Agricultural Product Safety Incidents: Chinese African Swine Fever Debate on Weibo

Qian

Yang

et al. 2022

Front. Psychol.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Public concern over major agricultural product safety incidents, such as swine flu and avian flu, can intensify financial losses in the livestock and poultry industries. Crawler technology were applied to reviewed the Weibo social media discussions on the African Swine Fever (ASF) incident in China that was reported on 3 August 2018, and used content analysis and network analysis to specifically examine the online public opinion network dissemination characteristics of verified individual users, institutional users and ordinary users. It was found that: (1) attention paid to topics related to “epidemic,” “treatment,” “effect” and “prevent” decrease in turn, with the interest in “prevent” increasing significantly when human infections were possible; (2) verified individual users were most concerned about epidemic prevention and control and play a supervisory role, the greatest concern of institutional users and ordinary users were issues related to agricultural industry and agricultural products price fluctuations respectively; (3) among institutional users, media was the main opinion leader, and among non-institutional users, elites from all walks of life, especially the food safety personnel acted as opinion leaders. Based on these findings, some policy suggestions are given: determine the nature of the risk to human health of the safety incident, stabilizing prices of relevant agricultural products, and giving play to the role of information dissemination of relevant institutions.

show abstract

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 90%

Public Social Media Discussions on Agricultural Product Safety Incidents: Chinese African Swine Fever Debate on Weibo

Qian

Yang

et al. 2022

Front. Psychol.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…In order to study the influence of network public opinions on the price fluctua of small agricultural products, this paper takes garlic as an example, crawling thro garlic price-related information on garlic forums from January 2015 to December 202 ing web crawler technology, which included the text content and readings of indivi posts, and sentiment analysis methods were used to construct numerical indicato online public opinion, public attitude indicator (BI) and public attention indicator (R and the dynamic influence of public attitude and public attention on garlic price flu tions was analyzed using a TVP-VAR model. The NLP-TVP-VAR model results sup the original hypothesis that both public attitude and public attention have a shortinfluence on garlic price fluctuation, and the influences differ in direction and inten which is also consistent with the conclusions in [47]. In terms of direction, the public tude has a significant positive influence on garlic price fluctuation, whereas the p attention has an inhibiting influence.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 85%

“…Hsl et al [46] analyzed the relationships between African swine fever (ASF) and meat prices based on a TVP-VAR model, and the results showed that there were some differences in the impact size, direction and duration of ASF on the prices of pork, chicken, beef and mutton. Liu et al [47] quantified online negative sentiment using microblog text mining and the results of SVM as the sentiment value, which was then used to empirically analyze the dynamic impact of negative public emotions on agricultural product prices during the COVID-19 pandemic in China.…”

Section: Relationship Between Network Public Opinions and Market Pric...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Dynamic Influence of Network Public Opinions on Price Fluctuation of Small Agricultural Products Based on NLP-TVP-VAR Model—Taking Garlic as an Example

Meng

2022

Sustainability

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

In recent years, the price of small agricultural products has both plummeted and skyrocketed, which has a great impact on people’s lives. Studying the factors affecting the price fluctuation of small agricultural products is of great significance for stabilizing their price. With the development and application of social media, farmers and consumers are more greatly influenced by online public opinion, resulting in irrational planting behavior or purchasing behavior, which has a complex impact on the price of small agricultural products. Taking garlic as an example, we crawled through network public opinions about garlic price from January 2015 to December 2020 using web crawler technology. Then, the network public opinions were quantified using a natural language processing and time-varying parameter vector autoregression (NLP-TVP-VAR) model to empirically analyze their dynamic influence on garlic price fluctuation. It was found that both public attitude and public attention have a short-term influence on garlic price fluctuation, and the influences of each differ according to direction, intensity and timing. The influence of public attitude on garlic price fluctuation is positive, while the influence of public attention on garlic price fluctuation is largely negative. The influence intensity of public attitude is stronger than of public attention on garlic price fluctuation. The influence of public attitude on garlic price fluctuation shows a trend of intensifying, while that of public attention has been weaker than in previous years. In addition, based on the results of our study, we present some recommendations for improving the comprehensive information platform and price fluctuation early warning system for the whole industry chain of small agricultural products.

show abstract

“…In reality, the uncertain external environment [ 21 ] is also an important factor to consider for the promotion of circular logistics packaging, such as the interference of public opinion on the strategy choice of government [ 22 ] and logistics enterprises [ 23 ], the speculative psychology of logistics enterprises [ 24 ], and the irrational emotions of consumers [ 25 ]. Therefore, this study constructs a tripartite evolutionary game model under the stochastic disturbance environment, aiming to solve the following key problems: (1) What are the payoff matrix and replication dynamic equations for environmental regulators, logistics companies, and consumers in the logistics-circular-packaging promotion game?…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of the Dilemma of Promoting Circular Logistics Packaging in China: A Stochastic Evolutionary Game-Based Approach

Yang

2022

IJERPH

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The environmental pollution caused by logistics packaging in China has attracted increasing attention in recent years, and circular packaging is considered an effective means to solve the aforementioned problem. Therefore, this study considers the uncertainty of the external environment; constructs a stochastic game model of circular logistics-packaging promotion, which consists of environmental regulators, logistics enterprises, and consumers; collects data related to logistics packaging in China to describe the current circular-packaging promotion dilemma; and conducts a parameter-sensitivity analysis. The results show that (1) after a short period of fluctuation, the environmental regulator will lock in the “strong regulation” strategy, whereas logistics enterprises and consumers will quickly lock in the “no promotion” and “negative use” strategies. (2) The change in the initial probability will affect the rate of strategy evolution of the gaming system. (3) The “strong regulatory” strategy of environmental regulators and the increase in the number of circular-packaging cycles can help establish a logistics-recycling-packaging system. (4) The increase in recycling incentives can cause consumers to shift toward “active use” strategies, but this has accelerated the rate at which logistics companies lock into “no promotion” strategies. (5) The increase in the intensity of random interference will raise the fluctuation of the evolution of the game subject. For logistics enterprises, moderate random interference helps them evolve toward the “promotion” strategy.

show abstract

Dynamic impact of negative public sentiment on agricultural product prices during COVID-19

Cited by 30 publications

References 92 publications

Public Social Media Discussions on Agricultural Product Safety Incidents: Chinese African Swine Fever Debate on Weibo

Public Social Media Discussions on Agricultural Product Safety Incidents: Chinese African Swine Fever Debate on Weibo

Dynamic Influence of Network Public Opinions on Price Fluctuation of Small Agricultural Products Based on NLP-TVP-VAR Model—Taking Garlic as an Example

Analysis of the Dilemma of Promoting Circular Logistics Packaging in China: A Stochastic Evolutionary Game-Based Approach

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About