“…It spikes in warmer, sunnier months, and once a BBD outbreak takes place within a given ecosystem, it tends to reoccur each year (Zvuloni et al, 2009;Sato et al, 2009;Kuehl et al, 2011;Muller and van Woesik, 2011;Sato et al, 2011). Individual coral colonies in which BBD has halted are 3.5 times more likely to develop signs of the disease in subsequent years (Sato et al, 2009). Analyses of the within-ecosystem, spatiotemporal patterns of the appearance of BBD point to various models, including transmission by water currents, stochastic appearance of lesions and direct colonyto-colony transmission (Bruckner et al, 1997;Sato et al, 2009;Zvuloni et al, 2009).…”