Introduction:
Several aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic remain ambiguous, including its transmission, severity, geographic and racial differences in mortality. These variations merit elaboration of local patterns to inform wider national policies.
Methods:
In a retrospective analysis, data of patients treated at a dedicated COVID hospital with moderate and severe illness during eight weeks of the pandemic was reviewed with attention to mortality in a competing risks framework.
Results:
A total of 1147 patients were hospitalized, and 312 (27.2%) died in hospital. Those who died were older (56.5 vs 47.6 years; p, < 0.0001). Of these, 885 (77.2%) had tested positive on RT-PCR, with 219 (24.2%) deaths (incidence rate, 1.9 per 100 person-days). Median time from onset of symptoms to death was 11 days. A competing risks analysis for in-hospital death revealed an adjusted cause-specific hazard ratio of 1.4 for each decade increase in age.
Conclusions:
This retrospective analysis provides broad patterns of disease presentation and mortality. Even COVID test negative patients will receive treatment at dedicated facilities and 33% presenting cases may die within the first 72 hours, most with comorbid illness. This should be considered while planning distribution of services for effective healthcare delivery