Early Illicit Drug Use and The Age of Onset of Homelessness

Boys typically initiate delinquent behaviour during their teenage years, and many go on to be arrested. We show that engaging in delinquency and being arrested in youth are each associated with early school leaving. The effect of delinquency on school leaving is largely driven by crimes that produce a monetary return, and the increase in school leaving is greater when onset of these types of crime, and arrest, occur at younger ages. The sizeable impact of delinquency on school leaving highlights the need for crime prevention efforts to extend beyond youth who come into contact with the justice system.

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“…Recent examples are Mroz et al . (2016); McVicar, Moschion and van Ours (2019); Moschion and van Ours (2019). 7…”

Section: Estimationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Delinquency, Arrest and Early School Leaving*

2020

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“…Causal modeling, whether frequentist or Bayesian, may also be useful [see, e.g. 49]. [44] assume that the predictive information in X can be summarized by its values at one or a few crucial time points, which are the same for every subject, and discuss how to estimate the location of this point in time (e.g., for timing medical checkups).…”

Section: Identifying a Critical Periodmentioning

confidence: 99%

Scalar-on-function regression for predicting distal outcomes from intensively gathered longitudinal data: Interpretability for applied scientists

Dziak¹,

Coffman²,

Reimherr³

et al. 2019

Statist. Surv.

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Researchers are sometimes interested in predicting a distal or external outcome (such as smoking cessation at follow-up) from the trajectory of an intensively recorded longitudinal variable (such as urge to smoke). This can be done in a semiparametric way via scalar-on-function regression. However, the resulting fitted coefficient regression function requires special care for correct interpretation, as it represents the joint relationship of time points to the outcome, rather than a marginal or cross-sectional relationship. We provide practical guidelines, based on experience with scientific applications, for helping practitioners interpret their results and illustrate these ideas using data from a smoking cessation study.

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“…Also, McVicar et al (2015b) find that taking up daily cannabis use increases the probability of transition into homelessness for young men but not for young women. These results are consistent with each other and suggest that adolescent boys might react more strongly to their parents' separation via adopting bad or risky behaviours such as substance use which could then lead to homelessness.…”

mentioning

confidence: 92%