Ecological niche models of invasive seaweeds

Marcelino, Vanessa R.; Verbruggen, Heroen

doi:10.1111/jpy.12322

Cited by 40 publications

(36 citation statements)

References 130 publications

(265 reference statements)

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“…Modelling seaweed invasions. The use of mechanistic models to predict species distribution can often be a challenging process since it is very sensitive to the input data (e.g., see Araujo andGuisan 2006, Marcelino andVerbruggen 2015). SDM is a correlative approach that describes patterns rather than explaining the mechanisms of species distribution.…”

Section: Modelling Invasiveness In Asparagopsismentioning

confidence: 99%

“…, Zanolla and Andreakis ) but also for predicting species and population expansion and assessing the impact and invasive potential of invaders at multiple stages in the invasion process (Peterson , Bolton et al. , Marcelino and Verbruggen ). In particular, the combination of SDM and molecular phylogeography represents a high resolution tool for distinguishing between cryptogenic endemisms and cryptic introductions.…”

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confidence: 99%

“…The combination of molecular phylogeographic inference, ecophysiological studies and species distribution modelling (SDM) represents a powerful tool for the detection of introduced species and the identification of their source populations (Booth et al 2007, Zanolla and but also for predicting species and population expansion and assessing the impact and invasive potential of invaders at multiple stages in the invasion process (Peterson 2003, Bolton et al 2011, Marcelino and Verbruggen 2015. In particular, the combination of SDM and molecular phylogeography represents a high resolution tool for distinguishing between cryptogenic endemisms and cryptic introductions.…”

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confidence: 99%

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Assessing global range expansion in a cryptic species complex: insights from the red seaweed genus Asparagopsis (Florideophyceae)

Zanolla¹,

Altamirano²,

Carmona³

et al. 2017

Journal of Phycology

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The mitochondrial genetic diversity, distribution and invasive potential of multiple cryptic operational taxonomic units (OTUs) of the red invasive seaweed Asparagopsis were assessed by studying introduced Mediterranean and Hawaiian populations. Invasive behavior of each Asparagopsis OTU was inferred from phylogeographic reconstructions, past historical demographic dynamics, recent range expansion assessments and future distributional predictions obtained from demographic models. Genealogical networks resolved Asparagopsis gametophytes and tetrasporophytes into four A. taxiformis and one A. armata cryptic OTUs. Falkenbergia isolates of A. taxiformis L3 were recovered for the first time in the western Mediterranean Sea and represent a new introduction for this area. Neutrality statistics supported past range expansion for A. taxiformis L1 and L2 in Hawaii. On the other hand, extreme geographic expansion and an increase in effective population size were found only for A. taxiformis L2 in the western Mediterranean Sea. Distribution models predicted shifts of the climatically suitable areas and population expansion for A. armata L1 and A. taxiformis L1 and L2. Our integrated study confirms a high invasive risk for A. taxiformis L1 and L2 in temperate and tropical areas. Despite the differences in predictions among modelling

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Section: Modelling Invasiveness In Asparagopsismentioning

confidence: 99%

mentioning

confidence: 99%

mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Assessing global range expansion in a cryptic species complex: insights from the red seaweed genus Asparagopsis (Florideophyceae)

Zanolla¹,

Altamirano²,

Carmona³

et al. 2017

Journal of Phycology

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“…Also known as species distribution modeling (Guisan and Thuiller, 2005;Elith and Leathwick, 2009;Peterson and Soberón, 2012), ENMs are a spatially-explicit method for modeling the ecological requirements of a given species and predicting its potential distribution in a geographical space. ENMs have many potential applications in ecological studies (see Guisan and Thuiller, 2005 for a review) but in the marine realm, they have mostly been used to examine invasive benthic species (e.g., Leidenberger et al, 2015;Marcelino and Verbruggen, 2015). Fewer studies have used them to consider pelagic species at fine time-and spatial-scales as their habitats are highly variable (Friedlaender et al, 2011;Druon et al, 2012Druon et al, , 2016.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Skipjack Tuna Availability for Purse Seine Fisheries Is Driven by Suitable Feeding Habitat Dynamics in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans

et al. 2017

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An Ecological Niche model was developed for skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis, SKJ) in the Eastern Central Atlantic Ocean (AO) and Western Indian Ocean (IO) using an extensive set of presence data collected by the European purse seine fleet (1998)(1999)(2000)(2001)(2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008)(2009)(2010)(2011)(2012)(2013)(2014).Chlorophyll-a fronts were used as proxy for food availability while mixed layer depth, sea surface temperature, dissolved oxygen, salinity, current intensity, and height anomaly variables were selected to describe SKJ's abiotic environmental preferences. The resultant ecological niche included both mesoscale eddy-type productive features that displayed latitudinal range in the IO to large scale upwelling systems that shrink and swell seasonally in the AO. Overall, 83% of all free swimming school sets (FSC) and 75% of drifting fish aggregating device sets (dFAD) that contained SKJ occurred within 25 km of favorable feeding habitat. In the AO, 34% of dFAD sets were made more than 100 km away from this habitat, mostly in the surface chlorophyll-a poor environment of the Guinea Current. These distant sets represent 10% of dFAD sets in the IO and 8% of all FSC sets. Our results suggest that the Mozambique Channel in the IO, with its simultaneously favorable feeding and spawning conditions, may seasonally offer a better SKJ nursery habitat than the Guinea Current which shows a substantially poorer feeding capacity. With the exception of this latter area, our results also suggest that fishing accessibility will be higher in months where the size of the favorable feeding habitats are reduced, likely because this reduction drives a geographical contraction in SKJ populations. The observed relationship between the annual size of favorable feeding habitat and both annual catch rates and total catches in the IO is consistent with the near-full exploitation of this stock that has occurred since the 2000s. Moreover, it suggests that annual habitat size could be used as an indicator of growth capacity for this highly productive stock. Habitat monitoring, as part of a dynamic fisheries management approach, should contribute to the sustainable exploitation of SKJ by providing information on the climate-dependent aspects of stock variability and the effects of dFAD deployment in food-rich habitats.

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“…Range shift predictions based on laboratory‐experiments with temperature manipulation (Piñeiro‐Corbeira, Barreiro, Cremades, & Arenas, ) have matched observed range shifts of seaweeds in the Northeast Atlantic (NE‐Atlantic) due to increasing sea surface temperature (SST; Piñeiro‐Corbeira, Barreiro, & Cremades, ). To date, despite the widespread use of SDM for habitat‐forming species (e.g., Marcelino & Verbruggen, ; Record, Charney, Zakaria, & Ellison, ; Valle et al, ), only two studies have incorporated the use of physiological data (Franco et al, ; Martínez, Arenas, Trilla, Viejo, & Carreño, ). The incorporation of physiological data is particularly important for invasive species which are in violation of the assumption that a species is at equilibrium with the environment (Elith et al, ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Projected 21st‐century distribution of canopy‐forming seaweeds in the Northwest Atlantic with climate change

Wilson

Skinner

Lotze

2019

Diversity and Distributions

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Aim Climate change is predicted to alter the distribution and abundance of marine species, including canopy‐forming seaweeds which provide important ecosystem functions and services. We asked whether continued warming will affect the distribution of six common canopy‐forming species: mid‐intertidal fucoids (Ascophyllum nodosum, Fucus vesiculosus), low‐intertidal Irish moss (Chondrus crispus), subtidal laminarian kelps (Saccharina latissima, Laminaria digitata) and the invasive Codium fragile. Location Northwest Atlantic. Methods We used occurrence records and the correlative presence‐only species distribution model Maxent to determine present‐day distribution. This distribution was compared to each species’ warm‐water physiological thresholds indicating areas of stable or reduced growth and mortality. Present‐day models were then projected to mid‐century (2040–2050) and end‐century (2090–2100) using two contrasting carbon emission scenarios (RCP2.6 and 8.5) and two global climate models from CMIP5 based on changes in ocean temperatures. Results Projected range shifts were minimal under low emissions (RCP2.6), but substantial species‐specific range shifts were projected under high emissions (RCP8.5), with all species except C. fragile predicted to experience a northward shift in their southern (warm) edge of ≤406 km by the year 2100. Northward expansions outweighed southern extirpations for fucoids and C. crispus leading to overall range expansions, while range contractions were projected for kelps and C. fragile. Model projections generally agreed with physiological thresholds but were more conservative suggesting that range shifts for kelps may be underpredicted. Main conclusions Our results highlight the benefits to be gained from strong climate change mitigation (RCP2.6), which would limit changes in rocky shore community distribution and composition. The business‐as‐usual RCP8.5 scenario projected major range shifts, seaweed community reorganization and transitions in dominant species south of Newfoundland by 2100 (~47°N). As canopy‐forming seaweeds provide essential habitat, carbon storage, nutrient cycling and commercial value, understanding their response to continued climate warming is critical to inform coastal management and conservation planning.

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Ecological niche models of invasive seaweeds

Cited by 40 publications

References 130 publications

Assessing global range expansion in a cryptic species complex: insights from the red seaweed genus Asparagopsis (Florideophyceae)

Assessing global range expansion in a cryptic species complex: insights from the red seaweed genus Asparagopsis (Florideophyceae)

Skipjack Tuna Availability for Purse Seine Fisheries Is Driven by Suitable Feeding Habitat Dynamics in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans

Projected 21st‐century distribution of canopy‐forming seaweeds in the Northwest Atlantic with climate change

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