Economic and Distributional Impact of COVID‐19: Evidence from Macro‐Micro Modelling of the South African Economy

Chitiga-Mabugu, Margaret; Henseler, Martin; Mabugu, Ramos; Maisonnave, Hélène

doi:10.1111/saje.12275

Cited by 44 publications

(33 citation statements)

References 14 publications

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“…These studies suggested that poverty alleviation benefited from the growth of agricultural production and productivity, increased agricultural investment, appropriate amount and method of fertilizers application. In addition, around 9% of existing studies accounted for progress evaluation and interactions between SDGs (Allen et al, 2017;Allen et al, 2021), assessing the influence of various factors on poverty including health policies (Shrime et al, 2016), disease spread (Chitiga-Mabugu et al, 2021), technical efficiency (Islam and Haider, 2018), population aging (X. Wang et al, 2017), and urban characteristics (Duque et al, 2015).…”

Section: Bibliometric Informationmentioning

confidence: 99%

A review of model-based scenario analysis of poverty for informing sustainability

Liu¹,

Guo²,

Gao³

et al. 2021

Preprint

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Ending poverty in all its forms everywhere is the first goal being targeted by the United Nations 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Poverty eradication is a long-term process that faces the challenges of many uncertainties and complex interactions with other Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). In order to better understand poverty and contribute to addressing poverty in a sustainable manner, this paper aims to conduct a systematic review of model-based analysis for poverty scenario in the context of SDGs. We first review 144 studies from the perspectives of bibliometric information (i.e., publication types, research topics for poverty, research objects, research scales and geographic locations) and models information for poverty scenario analysis (i.e., model types, purposes, states, temporal and spatial range, sectors considered, poverty and other SDGs indicators). Second, we discuss the pros and cons of different types of models and identify seven representative models. We also discuss the synergies and trade-offs between poverty and other SDGs. Finally, we identify four potential research gaps in model-based poverty scenario analysis and provide suggestions for future research. The review shows that poverty scenario analysis was carried out mainly from a single perspective, such as economic, ecological, and agricultural. Few studies used effective models to analyze poverty under an integrated interactions analysis of multiple sectors. Comprehensive multi-sector models are needed for global and regional poverty scenario analysis over the medium- or long-term to enhance the ability of analyzing the combined effects, synergies, and trade-offs between poverty and a variety of other SDGs.

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Section: Bibliometric Informationmentioning

confidence: 99%

A review of model-based scenario analysis of poverty for informing sustainability

Liu¹,

Guo²,

Gao³

et al. 2021

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…It is also similar to the Klaten and Wonogiri markets, reducing turnover (AZIMAH et al, 2020). In the global context, there was a tremendous economic distraction (Kusno, 2020), which damaged the international market (Ashraf, 2020)which resulted in a significant reduction in employment (Chitiga-Mabugu, Henseler, Mabugu, & Maisonnave, 2020). Unlike previous studies, this study presents a different perspective because it specifically looks at the direct impact of Covid-19 on female workers in Serang City.…”

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confidence: 94%

The Economic Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic on Female Workers in Serang City, Banten

Utami

Prafitri

2021

LOGOS

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This research discusses the Covid-19 pandemic and its impact on the female workers economy in Serang City. The Covid-19 pandemic has affected various areas of people's life, including the economy. On the other hand, female workers are among those affected by Covid-19. The theory used in this study is the Cohen economic impact theory which includes the impact on income, the impact on economic activity, and the impact on expenditure. The research method used is qualitative research with a qualitative descriptive approach. Data collection techniques using observation, in-depth interviews, and documentation. This research's informants are the Labor Office of Serang Banten, the Giant Labor Community, and formal female workers. The results showed that the Covid-19 pandemic in Serang City influenced some female workers' economic aspects, such as income, economic activities, and expenditure. This influence is especially for women workers affected, such as female workers at home, who are laid off until their work contract is terminated.

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“…Also, the ravaging impact of the pandemic is still ongoing, and one cannot predict the fate of Saudi Arabia with this new variant known as Delta Plus. Evidence shows that there are other possible ways through which the pandemic feeds into other parts of the economy (Chitiga-Mabugu et al, 2021). This makes economic modelling activities difficult.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The focus of this paper will emphasise the outcomes of the COVID-19 on the economy and households of the KSA people. Though there are few papers in this direction of recent, such as Maliszewska et al (2020), Laborde et al (2020) and Chitiga-Mabugu et al (2021), but not in KSA. The authors traced the effects of the COVID-19 on the economy through some selected outlets.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of COVID-19 on Saudi Arabia's economy: evidence from macro-micro modelling

Alharbi

2021

PRR

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PurposeEven with the Saudi Arabian Government's discretionary measures to mitigate the spread of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), the economic sectors were not spared from the damage. Thus, the paper aims to use a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia's (KSA) economy, with a special focus on small and medium enterprises (SMEs) and production. These influence the level of poverty.Design/methodology/approachThe paper adopted the social accounting matrix (SAM) for Saudi Arabia built in 2021 by Imtithal Althumairi from Saudi Arabia's 2017 SAM. The model represents a snapshot of the economy and different flows that exist within the tasks and institutions. Two simulations (mild and severe) were conducted because of the focus on the distributional outcomes.FindingsDecrease in job creation and economic growth were significant evidence from the study's findings. Findings show that more families hit below the poverty line because the negative impacts of the pandemic have shifted the income allocation curve. Findings show that the weakest of the poor are mitigated by government social grants during the pandemic.Research limitations/implicationsThe paper is restricted to the relevant literature relating to the impact of COVID-19 on Saudi Arabia's economy and evaluated using the SAM model. Moreover, the COVID-19 is still an ongoing scenario; thus, the model should be updated as data utilised for the operationalisation are made available.Practical implicationsThe information from the suggested model can be suitable to measure the degree of the harm, and thus, the likely extent of the desirable policy feedback. Also, the model can be updated, as data are made available and formulated policies based on the updated data implemented by the policymakers.Originality/valueApart from the recovery planning of SMEs during the pandemic, the paper intends to stir up Saudi Arabia's policymakers through the macro-micro model to recovery planning and resilience of the economy with emphasis on mitigating unemployment.

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Economic and Distributional Impact of COVID‐19: Evidence from Macro‐Micro Modelling of the South African Economy

Cited by 44 publications

References 14 publications

A review of model-based scenario analysis of poverty for informing sustainability

A review of model-based scenario analysis of poverty for informing sustainability

The Economic Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic on Female Workers in Serang City, Banten

Impact of COVID-19 on Saudi Arabia's economy: evidence from macro-micro modelling

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