Economic Convergence In Ageing Europe

Kashnitsky, Ilya; Beer, Joop de; Wissen, Leo van

doi:10.1111/tesg.12357

Cited by 10 publications

(13 citation statements)

References 58 publications

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“…Convergence theory provides a real and versatile framework for analysis (Dolecki, 2009). Convergence has a strong impact on growth models (Cartone et al, in press;Kashnitsky et al, 2020;Kvedaras & Cseres-Gergely, 2020;Lee, 2020) and is obvious on many levels of economic analysis (Kong et al, 2017). As economic convergence deepens, risks decrease (Cincibuch et al, 2008).…”

Section: Convergence and Economic Growth Modelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The relationship between tourism and economic growth in the EU-28. Is there a tendency towards convergence?

Haller

Butnaru

Hârșan

et al. 2020

Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja

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Tourism significantly increased in the EU-28 in recent years. In the present study, the 28 member states were analysed for the period between 2012 and 2018, depending on data availability. The authors tested empirically whether economic convergence took place from the perspective of three types of revenue from the tourism sector. The contribution of tourism revenue to economic growth varied across different countries. The analysis of b and r-convergence showed a low-intensity and slow process based on the revenues generated by accommodation, transport, and restaurant and coffee shop services. Contrary to expectations, the factors analysed did not strongly support the EU-28 tourism sector convergence. We argue the existence of a positive and direct relationship between tourism and economic growth. The convergence did exist but its pace was sometimes slow and of low intensity, preceded by periods of divergence. The three types of services generated tourism revenue but not decisively. The paper complements the literature using indicators that strictly describe the tourism sector and brings into focus findings that contradict those from other studies. Our conclusion is that convergence was not accelerated, but slow and it was not determined by tourism factors but by related ones.

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Section: Convergence and Economic Growth Modelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The relationship between tourism and economic growth in the EU-28. Is there a tendency towards convergence?

Haller

Butnaru

Hârșan

et al. 2020

Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja

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“…Moreover, some economists even doubt the negative influence of population aging on economic development, at least in the beginning of the period of accelerated aging (Gómez and De Cos 2008). But even if we rely on a negative link between aging and economic development, the interplay between convergence in aging and economic cohesion is not stable over time and space: it depends on the change in productivity and labor force participation (Kashnitsky et al 2017).…”

Section: Conclusion and Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Decomposition of regional convergence in population aging across Europe

Kashnitsky

Beer

Wissen

2017

Preprint

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In the face of rapidly aging population, decreasing regional inequalities in population composition is one of the regional cohesion goals of the European Union. To our knowledge, no explicit quantification of the changes in regional population aging differentiation exist. We investigate how regional differences in population aging developed over the last decade and how they are likely to evolve in the coming three decades, and we examine how demographic components of population growth contribute to the process. We use the beta-convergence approach to test whether regions are moving towards a common level of population aging. The change in population composition is decomposed into the separate effects of changes in the size of the non-working-age population and of the working-age population. The latter changes are further decomposed into the effects of cohort turnover, migration at working ages, and mortality at working ages. European Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics (NUTS)-2 regions experienced notable convergence in population aging during the period 2003–2012 and are expected to experience further convergence in the coming three decades. Convergence in aging mainly depends on changes in the population structure of East-European regions. Cohort turnover plays the major role in promoting convergence. Differences in mortality at working ages, though quite moderate themselves, have a significant cumulative effect. The projections show that when it is assumed that net migration flows at working ages are converging across European regions, this will not contribute to convergence of population aging. The beta-convergence approach proves useful to examine regional variations in population aging across Europe.

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“…Our approach to identifying population ageing indicators follows that of Davies and James (2011), who view spatial inequalities in the level of population ageing as the result of a wider set of demographic, social, economic and political and environmental factors, with differing levels of intensity in different locations. We focus on demographic factors and so base our paper on the latest findings of Kashnitsky et al (2017Kashnitsky et al ( , 2019. By identifying the demographic factors behind regional changes in population ageing, we find that the expected convergence in ageing will depend mainly on changes in the age structure of the Eastern European regions.…”

Section: Theoretical Framework and The Inclusion Of A Prospective Resmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Some studies have sought to identify the principal factors determining temporal and spatial changes. Those by Kashnitsky et al (2017) and Kashnitsky et al (2019) are perhaps the most complex.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A retrospective and prospective view of current and future population ageing in the European Union 28 countries

Šídlo

Šprocha

Ďurček

2020

Moravian Geographical Reports

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Population ageing in the EU28 is an important twenty-first century phenomenon, affecting virtually every aspect of life in these countries. The results of the latest EUROPOP2018 population forecast indicate that the rate of ageing is accelerating. The aim of this paper is to analyse the current level of population ageing in the EU28, identify spatial differences, and point to likely trends by the middle of this century. For these purposes, we have used a combination of conventional chronological indicators of population ageing and a set of new indicators based on prospective age that allows for a more comprehensive and realistic view of population ageing. We use multivariate statistical methods (factor and cluster analysis) to identify groups of countries with similar population ageing characteristics, using both a retrospective and prospective approach. We decompose changes in selected ageing indicators into the separate effects of changes in the population composition (children under 15, working-age population, elderly). We then identify the effect of major demographic factors (migration, mortality, cohort turnover) for the set of EU28 countries

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Economic Convergence In Ageing Europe

Cited by 10 publications

References 58 publications

The relationship between tourism and economic growth in the EU-28. Is there a tendency towards convergence?

The relationship between tourism and economic growth in the EU-28. Is there a tendency towards convergence?

Decomposition of regional convergence in population aging across Europe

A retrospective and prospective view of current and future population ageing in the European Union 28 countries

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