Economic, energy-saving and carbon-abatement potential forecast of multiproduct pipelines: A case study in China

Yuan, Meng; Qiu, Rui; Long, Yin; Shen, Ruihao; Wang, Bohong

doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.11.144

Cited by 37 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 19 publications

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“…The larger capacity usually leads to lower unit transportation cost, and thereby pipeline is suitable for large capacity, stable oil products sources and long-term supply. In actual oil products supply chain system, pipeline plays an important role in linking the upstream and downstream ends [8]. Railway transportation requires carriers which are usually railroad tank cars.…”

Section: Problem Description a Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

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A Stochastic Linear Programming Method for the Reliable Oil Products Supply Chain System With Hub Disruption

Zhang

Liao

et al. 2019

IEEE Access

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This paper focuses on a reliable design of oil products supply chain system, which is conductive to promote the sales of oil products. A multi-scenario MILP (Mixed Integer Linear Programming) model coupled with Monte Carlo sampling is employed for optimizing the supply chain system with considering the transportation process of oil products, the stochastic hub disruption and the demand uncertainty. A real-world case is presented to illustrate the accuracy, applicability and efficiency of the proposed model. High-quality solutions are obtained successfully under deterministic conditions as well as uncertain conditions. Then, the effect of uncertainties on the supply chain system design is also analyzed. Finally, the results demonstrate that the stability and flexibility of the designed supply chain system could be substantially improved with less extra costs. INDEX TERMS Oil products supply chain system, reliable deign, multiple transportation modes, stochastic hub disruption, demand uncertainty, Monte Carlo sampling.

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Section: Problem Description a Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…With the development of domestic logistics in all countries, there are many great opportunities for companies to develop oil products supply chain systems [7]. If business operators can effectively integrate oil products and optimize supply chain systems, the sale of oil products will be greatly increased [8].…”

Section: Introduction a Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Stochastic Linear Programming Method for the Reliable Oil Products Supply Chain System With Hub Disruption

Zhang

Liao

et al. 2019

IEEE Access

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“…Refined products consumption accounts for a relatively high proportion in the current energy structure in China [1], the scale of its logistics system is growing with the continuous expansion of China's energy demand. Reducing logistics cost and improving transportation efficiency are the key points in the development of refined products transport systems [2].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An Integrated Framework for Flexible Refined Products Supply Chain

Wang,

Zhang,

Yuan

et al. 2020

Preprint

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“…The major concern in the energy sector of China is the supply of oil and China consumes 90% of the oil for petroleum‐based production . China's dependence on petroleum and its related products will maintain a stable increasing trend in the near future . However, the refined products supply chain (RPSC) may suffer from various risks, including abnormal demand, production fluctuations, and refinery shutdown caused by natural disasters or human‐induced disasters .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…3 China's dependence on petroleum and its related products will maintain a stable increasing trend in the near future. 4 However, the refined products supply chain (RPSC) may suffer from various risks, including abnormal demand, production fluctuations, and refinery shutdown caused by natural disasters or human-induced disasters. 5 These types of uncertainties are almost inevitable, and they will impact the supply of refined products.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sustainable refined products supply chain: A reliability assessment for demand‐side management in primary distribution processes

Wang

Qiu

Yuan

et al. 2019

Energy Science & Engineering

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The reliable operation of the primary distribution of refined products supply chains is crucial in guaranteeing the demand for retail markets. The uncertainties such as demand, production, and inventory will affect the supply chain operation. However, there lacks literature that studies the reliability of demand‐side management of refined products supply chains. This reliability assessment can help define the weak points and boost the performance of the supply chain. And it can help decision‐makers to improve the satisfaction of retail markets. In this paper, a systematic method for comprehensively assessing the reliability of refined products supply chains is proposed. At first, a mathematical programming model is developed to get the distribution plan of refined products. Then, several scenarios such as increasing demand, decreasing production, refineries disruption, and pipeline interruption relevant to the real situations of refined products supply chains are defined. Besides, indices including satisfaction rate, number of dissatisfied retail markets, refined products shortage, shortage of a single retail market, and average shortage duration are proposed to evaluate the reliability of the demand‐side management in primary distribution processes. At last, the Monte Carlo simulation is adopted for a comprehensive analysis combining all the scenarios. This analysis shows a clear picture of the influence of uncertainties. This method is applied to assess the reliability of demand‐side management of a real refined products supply chain. After analyzing different scenarios, the average probability of dissatisfaction under the reference scenario came as 1.93 × 10−4/day that means one day in around 14.2 years could have refined products shortage. This method can also help decision‐makers to assess other primary distribution of refined products supply chains.

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Economic, energy-saving and carbon-abatement potential forecast of multiproduct pipelines: A case study in China

Cited by 37 publications

References 19 publications

A Stochastic Linear Programming Method for the Reliable Oil Products Supply Chain System With Hub Disruption

A Stochastic Linear Programming Method for the Reliable Oil Products Supply Chain System With Hub Disruption

An Integrated Framework for Flexible Refined Products Supply Chain

Sustainable refined products supply chain: A reliability assessment for demand‐side management in primary distribution processes

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