Economic Fluctuations in the Australian Regional System 1955–70

Jeffrey, D.; Webb, D. J.

doi:10.1111/j.1467-8470.1972.tb00290.x

Cited by 27 publications

(10 citation statements)

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“…Job opportunities are also more restricted in non-metropolitan areas than metropolitan and even more so in small country towns. (Jeffrey and Webb, 1972;Harris, Crawford, Gruen and Honan, 1974;AGCIP, 1975b;Jordan, 1975;Lonsdale, 1980 andMonk, 1980;Windschuttle, 1980, pp.48-9;Lawrence, 1985, pp.49-50).…”

Section: Unemploymentmentioning

confidence: 95%

Rural Disadvantage in Australia

Cheers¹

1990

Australian Social Work

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Section: Unemploymentmentioning

confidence: 95%

Rural Disadvantage in Australia

Cheers¹

1990

Australian Social Work

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“…A number of geographers have independently identified regional dimensions of cyclic fluctuations in business cycle indicators King, Casetti, and Jeffrey 1969;Jeffrey and Webb 1972;Jeffrey 1974;Stokes, Jones, and Neuberger 1975;Cliff et al 1975;Weissbrod 1976). More recently, other geographers have found that regional cyclical differences may be declining, a fact that if fully established may have some implications for future business cycles (Hepple 1979;Frost and Spence 1981).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 97%

“…They discovered fairly early that cyclical components of economic activity varied among metropolitan areas and regions Jeffrey and Webb 1972;Jeffrey 1974;Casetti, King, and Jeffrey 1971). They also recognized early that economic changes in one region get passed on to other regions.…”

mentioning

confidence: 95%

“…With the proximate example of research on the regional Phillips curve, geographers became particularly interested in the regional and interregional behavior of unemployment as an indicator of aggregate excess demand Casetti, King, and Jeffrey 1971;Jeffrey and Webb 1972;Stokes, Jones and Neuburger 1975;King and Clark 1978;Clark 1979). Within these two streams of research, scholars were particularly interested in finding which regions (if any) appeared to influence other regions.…”

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confidence: 99%

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Mechanisms for Geographical Transmission of Economic Fluctuations

Jones

1983

Annals of the Association of American Geographers

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Geographers have made considerable descriptive progress in studies of business cycles, but the ways in which economic impulses are transmitted, known as "the transmission mechanism," remain inadequately analyzed. After reviewing several transmission mechanisms proposed in previous studies, the paper suggests that interregional commodity trade, with limited mobility of factors of production such as labor, is an obvious candidate for transmitting economic fluctuations among regions. Three models are constructed to analyze transmission mechanisms involved in interregional commodity trade in a monetary setting. Increases in wages or unemployment in one region could induce increases or decreases in wages or unemployment in another region. The directions of transmitted changes depend crucially on the cause of the change and the economic structures of the regions involved.

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“…A number of later papers have used the approaches of Brechling and Thirlwall in studies of unemployment at the regional, local, and urban scale to investigate differences between areas in the response of unemployment to national changes and in the degree of structural unemployment. The Brechling model has been applied at the local level in South West England by Cliff et al (1975), in North East England by Owen and Gillespie (1982), and in Canada by King and Clark (1978); and at the urban level in Australia by Jeffrey and Webb (1972) and in the United States by King, Casetti, and Jeffrey (1972). A slight variation of the model has been used in North West England by Campbell (1975), and Thirlwall's approach has been used at the provincial scale in the Netherlands by Van Duijn (1975).…”

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confidence: 99%

The Estimation of Models of Local Unemployment Responses in the Presence of Autocorrelated Errors

Dunn

1983

Geographical Analysis

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A number of geographical studies in the past fifteen years have used local or regional unemployment series in the analysis of different aspects of the spatial economy. The common factor linking this work together has been the attempt to use unemployment series in the monitoring, analysis, and forecasting of the behavior of local economies, especially in the analysis of the impact of national economic fluctuations on the structure and performance of regional systems. Most of these studies have used quantitative methods to summarize the relationship between unemployment series, the commonest methods being regression analysis, spectral analysis, and Box-Jenkins methods.This paper is concerned mainly with regression analysis; in particular, since unemployment series are highly and positively autocorrelated, the use of standard regression methods is often inappropriate, and procedures that incorporate dependence in the error term need to be considered. As an empirical example, local unemployment responses in the Severnside area of Great Britain, for the period 1961-78, are estimated by different methods. The central argument of this paper is that the quantitative analysis of local unemployment series may provide important empirical evidence concerning the performance of local economies, but that when quantitative methods are used the statistical assumptions of these methods must be considered. It will be shown that the use of statistically inappropriate approaches may produce conclusions that are quite misleading. . Regional Response ModelsThe two most important contributions to the statistical analysis of regional and local unemployment are those by Brechling (1967) andThirlwall (1966), and the models developed in those papers have become known as regional response (or Brechling) models. Calibration of the theoretical model proposed by Brechling has usually used multiple regression analysis, or ordinary least squares (OLS), on the following functional form: *Thanks are due to a number of colleagues at the University of Bristol, in particular Leslie Hepple and Ed Thomas, and to two referees of a previous version of this paper.Richard Dunn is research associate, Department of Geography, University of Bristol.

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Economic Fluctuations in the Australian Regional System 1955–70

Cited by 27 publications

References 13 publications

Rural Disadvantage in Australia

Rural Disadvantage in Australia

Mechanisms for Geographical Transmission of Economic Fluctuations

The Estimation of Models of Local Unemployment Responses in the Presence of Autocorrelated Errors

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