Economic Growth-Migration Nexus: An Analysis Based on Developing Countries

Sevinç, Haktan; Bozkurt, Eda; Künü, Serkan; Sevinç, Demet Eroğlu

doi:10.36880/c07.01715

Cited by 8 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 1 publication

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“…The notion that skilled immigrants reduce the negative impact on GDP is supported by studies such as Dolado et al (1994) and Barro and Sala-i-Martin (2004). The findings of Ahmed (2010), Sevinç andSevinç Eroğlu. (2016), andŞimşek (2018) are consistent with the conclusion that an increase in the number of immigrants negatively affects GDP.…”

Section: Hypothesizedmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Regarding the relationship between international migration and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), some studies have found a positive impact of migration on GDP (Felbermayr et al, 2010;Boubtane et al, 2013;Ortega and Peri, 2014;Engin and Konuk, 2020;Gülbahar, 2020), while others report a negative impact (Ahmed, 2010;Sevinç and Sevinç Eroğlu, 2016;Şimşek, 2018). Studies examining the direction of causality between migration and GDP have distinguished between one-way causality, with GDP being the cause of migration (Morley, 2006) or migration being the cause of GDP (Göv and Dürrü, 2017;Şimşek, 2018;Meçik and Koyuncu, 2020) and bidirectional causality (Feridun, 2004;Altunç et al, 2017).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Relationship between International Migration, Agricultural Employment, and Household Labor Force in Türkiye

SARIOĞLU,

ŞENGÜL

2024

Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi

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There isn't much academic research on the impacts of immigration on the labor market and job structure at the national level, although Türkiye is one of the nation’s hosting the greatest populations of refugees. Because of the scarcity of information, a research gap exists. As a result, the study was carried out to determine the impact of international migration on agricultural employment and the changes in agricultural employment in Türkiye. Johansen Co-integration and Granger Causality analyses were performed on data from 1988 to 2018 to evaluate the change in the agricultural workforce in Türkiye and to demonstrate the temporal influence of immigration. According to the findings of the cointegration study, a rise in emigration has a negative impact on the agricultural areas and agricultural employment while having a good impact on agricultural GDP. Migration has long-term detrimental consequences. According to the causality study, there is a one-way link between migration and agricultural GDP. A panel data analysis was performed to establish the short-term detrimental impact of migration on agricultural employment, as well as how the structure of employment altered and developed during this process. The statistics provide temporal data from 2004 to 2020, and the individual's agricultural employment status, education, income, continuous employment, and extra work status are cross-sectional data. According to the Panel Logistic Regression Analysis results, while more educated and higher income individuals leave away from the agricultural sector, the desire to have a side job leads the individual to the agricultural sector. International migration has a detrimental impact on agricultural employment and its structure in this scenario. As a result, the sustainability of the working arrangements established by immigration regulations should be assured, and limits and constraints should be implemented, particularly in the agricultural sector. When agricultural employees transition to other industries, agricultural areas are being used in ways that were not planned. As a result, in the long run, the decline in output may have a negative impact on agricultural GDP. This condition has been the topic of several research and may serve as the foundation for new ones.

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Section: Hypothesizedmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Relationship between International Migration, Agricultural Employment, and Household Labor Force in Türkiye

SARIOĞLU,

ŞENGÜL

2024

Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi

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“…They added that the socio-economic development variable alone is insufficient to explain the migration rate; therefore, political, cultural, and demographic factors should also be included in the model [15]. Sevinç et al [51] examined the relationship between migration and economic growth in developing countries between the years of 1962-2012. They found that in Turkey, there is a significant and negative relationship between economic growth and migration.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…She found that the unemployment rate, inflation, and property rates increased at a higher rate in regions where Syrians live most. The studies focused on Syrian refugees mostly examined housing and labour market changes and inflation [51,54].…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Relation Between International Movements and Development: Analysis of Cities in Turkey

Söyler,

Kerimoğlu

2024

IJSDP

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This study aims to analyse the extent to which international mobility impacts the socioeconomic development of cities in Turkey. Firstly, a 27-variable principal component analysis was applied to determine the development index of the cities. The socio-economic development of the cities is classified into six categories. Primarily international mobility, international capital, and population mobility have been evaluated two-dimensionally within the accessible national data covering the years 2018-2019. In this study, the effect of the variables of international mobility on the cities' socio-economic development was identified through multivariate regression and geographic weighted regression (GWR) analysis. Global (OLS) and GWR analyses allow us to investigate the impact of and the relationship between international mobility on socio-economic development. GWR model, which can give placebased regression results and additionally the number of companies with foreign capital, the number of houses sold to foreigners, the number of incentive certificates issued to foreigners, the number of foreign workers, the number of foreigners granted residence permits, and the number of international students were used as independent variables. International capital mobility has a meaningful and positive relationship with the socio-economic development index. The variable of the number of international students used as a part of international population mobility does not have a meaningful effect on socio-economic development index (SEGE). Overall, international mobility has a positive impact on the level of socio-economic development of the cities. However, given the geographical distribution of international capital and population movements in Turkey, western and southern regions seem to have a higher mobility level than the rest of the country.

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“…Moreover, Qutb (2021) emphasized the long-term negative impact of remittances on economic growth in Egypt and warned against the simultaneous perception of the positive aspects of such remittances. Sevinç et al (2016) investigated the relationship between migration and economic growth in 18 developing countries for the period 1962-2012 using panel data methods. According to the findings of the study, the negative impact of migration on economic growth was found.…”

Section: İbrahim Halil Sugözü Nuraiym Talantbekova Migration Remitta...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Migration, Remittances, and Economic Growth: Evidence From Central Asian Countries

Sugözü,

Talantbekova

2024

Uluslararası Ekonomi Siyaset İnsan Ve Toplum Bilimleri Dergisi

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In this study, the effect of migration on economic growth is tested by panel data analysis for four Central Asian countries, namely Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan, for the period 2005–2022. One of the most important reasons for the focus of the study on Central Asia is that Central Asia is one of the regions in the world where labor migration is at a very high level in proportion to the population, and as a result, there is a significant number of transfers to the countries of citizenship in proportion to their Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Moreover, one of the common characteristics of labor migration in the region is that the destination is Russia. Thus, the analysis will lead us to more explanatory and clearer conclusions, and the results of the study will help to determine common policies. As a result of the regression analysis conducted with the Driscoll-Kraay estimator for the analysis, it was found that the increase in remittances positively affects economic growth. On the other hand, it is found that trade openness, which is included in the analysis as the ratio of total foreign trade to national income, has a negative effect on growth. The cointegration test confirmed the validity of this situation in the long run. In the causality analysis, a unidirectional causality relationship was found from remittances to GDP. Accordingly, there is evidence that the remittances of workers from abroad make a significant contribution to economic growth.

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Economic Growth-Migration Nexus: An Analysis Based on Developing Countries

Cited by 8 publications

References 1 publication

The Relationship between International Migration, Agricultural Employment, and Household Labor Force in Türkiye

The Relationship between International Migration, Agricultural Employment, and Household Labor Force in Türkiye

The Relation Between International Movements and Development: Analysis of Cities in Turkey

Migration, Remittances, and Economic Growth: Evidence From Central Asian Countries

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