The development of sugarcane farming needs to be done in looking for the raw material needs of the sugar industry. So that, in managing the sugarcane farming, farmers will face various risks, including production risk. This research aims to (1) Analyze the magnitude of the risk of sugarcane production and (2) To know the variable that effect the production risk. The sample was taken purposively by selecting 50 sugarcane farmers in Malang Regency. Coefficient variations analysis was used to identify the risk scale and the just and pope model was used to identify the risk factor against the production risk. The result show that (1) the risk of the sugarcane production in Malang Regency is high, its about 0,428 and (2) the factors that affect the production risk is seeds, ZA, Phonska, and pesticide. The recommendation to policymakers is pay attention to the varieties that use by the farmers and improving the farmers managerial skills.