The bioavailability
of poorly water-soluble active pharmaceutical
ingredients (APIs) can be improved via the formulation
of an amorphous solid dispersion (ASD), where the API is incorporated
into a suitable polymeric carrier. Optimal carriers that exhibit good
compatibility (i.e., solubility and miscibility) with given APIs are
typically identified through experimental means, which are routinely
labor- and cost-inefficient. Therefore, the perturbed-chain statistical
associating fluid theory (PC-SAFT) equation of state, a popular thermodynamic
model in pharmaceutical applications, is examined in terms of its
performance regarding the computational pure prediction of API–polymer
compatibility based on activity coefficients (API fusion properties
were taken from experiments) without any binary interaction parameters
fitted to API–polymer experimental data (that is, k
ij
= 0 in all cases). This kind of prediction
does not need any experimental binary information and has been underreported
in the literature so far, as the routine modeling strategy used in
the majority of the existing PC-SAFT applications to ASDs comprised
the use of nonzero k
ij
values. The predictive performance of PC-SAFT was systematically
and thoroughly evaluated against reliable experimental data for almost
40 API–polymer combinations. We also examined the effect of
different sets of PC-SAFT parameters for APIs on compatibility predictions.
Quantitatively, the total average error calculated over all systems
was approximately 50% in the weight fraction solubility of APIs in
polymers, regardless of the specific API parametrization. The magnitude
of the error for individual systems was found to vary significantly
from one system to another. Interestingly, the poorest results were
obtained for systems with self-associating polymers such as poly(vinyl
alcohol). Such polymers can form intramolecular hydrogen bonds, which
are not accounted for in the PC-SAFT variant routinely applied to
ASDs (i.e., that used in this work). However, the qualitative ranking
of polymers with respect to their compatibility with a given API was
reasonably predicted in many cases. It was also predicted correctly
that some polymers always have better compatibility with the APIs
than others. Finally, possible future routes to improve the cost–performance
ratio of PC-SAFT in terms of parametrization are discussed.