Data from six western States provided 1,251 life tables representing western spruce budworm, Chodstoneura occidentalis Freeman. These data provided projection capabilities for defoliation and successive budworm densities, as well as a basis for comparing survival rates among the three principal North American needle-eating budworms (western and eastern spruce budworms, and the jack pine budworm). Several modifications are suggested in current methods for managing budworm-susceptible forests, and suggestions are provided for further studies on the budworm life systems.Keywords: Western spruce budworm, eastern spruce budworm, jack pine budworm, life table, population dynamics, survival, site and stand attributes, interstand influences, year-to-year changes, insecticide treatment, weather, Choristoneura, predators, birds, ants, density dependence, host defenses, hazard rating.
Extended, AbstractThe data for this study were collected between 1959 and 1988 from nine projects in six western States (Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, Colorado, and New Mexico). This data base provided both 1,251 life tables and hundreds of additional survival-rate fragments representing populations of the western spruce budworm, Choristoneura occidentalis Freeman. These data were analyzed to produce projection capabilities for defoliation and successive budworm densities (eggs, nominal fourth instars, emerging moths, and egg masses) as functions of preceding density, site and stand attributes, interstand influences, systematic year-to-year changes in survival, recent insecticide treatment, and weather. Some of these results were then used to compare survival rates in western spruce budworm with equivalent rates found in populations of the other principal North American needle-eating budworms--the eastern spruce budworm, C. fumiferana (Clem.), and the jack pine budworm, C. pinus Freeman.Across an outbreak, generation survival shows similar declines in the three budworms. For example, in each of the three budworm life systems, predation processes appear to be paramount in maintaining sparse densities. More specifically, in innocuous western spruce budworm populations, the combined effects of predaceous birds and ants provide a low stable equilibrium that can maintain populations at low densities indefinitely, at least in the Pacific Northwest. Apparently, the combined effects of these predators on large larvae and pupae is highest when budworm density reaches about one or two fourth instars per m 2 of foliage. From this density to about 50 fourth instars per m 2, average survival from fourth instar to adults increases with increasing density, then declines again (from processes that are not usually related to predation) as density continues to increase. Trends in all three species also are heavily influenced by density-related mass flights by gravid moths.Other comparisons, however, show that the three life systems differ in some fundamental ways. For example, across a multiyear outbreak, drastic density-dependent reductions oc...