2019
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-019-0293-3
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Emerging human infectious diseases and the links to global food production

Abstract: Infectious diseases are emerging globally at an unprecedented rate while global food demand is projected to increase sharply by 2100. Here, we synthesize the pathways by which projected agricultural expansion and intensification will influence human infectious diseases and how human infectious diseases might likewise affect food production and distribution. Feeding 11 billion people will require substantial increases in crop and animal production that will expand agricultural use of antibiotics, water, pestici… Show more

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Cited by 493 publications
(438 citation statements)
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References 136 publications
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“…Despite these interactions with Goal 3, research has typically focused on a small number of wellestablished links among other goals, for example between carbon sequestration and biodiversity conservation (7), biodiversity conservation and food production (5), or food production and carbon emissions (6). These studies ignore the role that EID risk plays in human health, generating a key policy blind spot: Efforts to reduce EID risk involve trade-offs with other societal goals, which ultimately rely on the same planetary resources (8). At the same time, ignoring EID risk might mean overlooking important synergies in the achievement of other goals, thereby reducing the perceived benefits of a proposed policy, or disregarding the wider consequences of inaction.…”
Section: Environmental Change Sustainable Developmentmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Despite these interactions with Goal 3, research has typically focused on a small number of wellestablished links among other goals, for example between carbon sequestration and biodiversity conservation (7), biodiversity conservation and food production (5), or food production and carbon emissions (6). These studies ignore the role that EID risk plays in human health, generating a key policy blind spot: Efforts to reduce EID risk involve trade-offs with other societal goals, which ultimately rely on the same planetary resources (8). At the same time, ignoring EID risk might mean overlooking important synergies in the achievement of other goals, thereby reducing the perceived benefits of a proposed policy, or disregarding the wider consequences of inaction.…”
Section: Environmental Change Sustainable Developmentmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…biodiversity conservation, and climate change mitigation cannot be considered in isolation (5)(6)(7)(8). Hence, understanding those dynamics is central to achieving the vision of the UN 2030 Agenda.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There may be several reasons why the number of outbreaks is increasing, which are reasons due to local conditions at the source of the outbreak (e.g., probably the presence of a seafood market for the current SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, Zhou et al, 2020). Such factors may be the increasing number of drug-resistant microbes, higher contact rates with wildlife, increased livestock and global food production, urbanization, deforestation, agricultural intensification, and others (Wilcox and Gubler, 2005;Jones et al, 2008;Plowright et al, 2008;Keesing et al, 2010;Smith and GuĂ©gan, 2010;Morand et al, 2014;Johnson et al, 2015;Hassell et al, 2017;Jorgensen et al, 2018;McMahon et al, 2018;Rohr et al, 2019).…”
Section: General Discussion and Future Implicationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The increasing connectivity of human populations due to international trade and travel (GuimerĂ  et al, 2005;Colizza et al, 2006;Brockmann and Helbing, 2013;Gabrielli et al, 2019), the rapid growth of the transport of wild and domesticated animals worldwide (Rosen and Smith, 2010;Schneider, 2012;Rohr et al, 2019;Levitt, 2020), and other factors such as the increasing encroachment of human populations on hitherto isolated wild animal populations through loss and fragmentation of wild habitats (Patz et al, 2004;Despommier et al, 2006;Pongsiri et al, 2009;Myers et al, 2013) have led to a great acceleration of infectious disease risks, e.g., the increase in emerging infectious diseases and drug-resistant microbes since 1940 (Jones et al, 2008) and the increase in the number of disease outbreaks since 1980 (Smith et al, 2014).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Organophosphate and pyrethroid insecticides, for example, target important esterases and nerve cell gates leading to ionic imbalances and uncontrollable convulsions and tremors before paralysis and eventual death (11, 12). Given that pesticide production and trade is estimated to increase drastically by 2050 (13, 14), there is a growing need to understand how agrochemical contamination impacts human and wildlife health.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%