Based on the concept that hydrophobic interactions cause a polypeptide chain to adopt a compact structure, a method is proposed to predict the structure of a protein. The procedure is carried out in four stages: (1) use of a virtual-bond united-residue approximation with the side chains represented by spheres to search conformational space extensively using specially designed interactions to lead to a collapsed structure, (2) conversion of the lowest-energy virtual-bond united-residue chain to one with a real polypeptide backbone, with optimization of the hydrogen-bond network among the backbone groups, (3) perturbation of the latter structure by the electrostatically driven Monte Carlo (EDMC) procedure, and (4) conversion of the spherical representation of the side chains to real groups and perturbation of the whole molecule by the EDMC procedure using the empirical conformational energy program for peptides (ECEPP/2) energy function plus hydration. Application of this procedure to the 36-residue avian pancreatic polypeptide led to a structure that resembled the one determined by X-ray crystallography; it had an a-helix starting at residue 13, with the N-terminal portion of the chain in an extended conformation packed against the a-helix. Similar structures with slightly higher energies, but looser packing, were also obtained.Keywords: compact conformations; conversion from a united-residue representation to an all-atom chain; hydrophobic-residue packing; Monte Carlo methods; multiple-minima problem; potential of mean force; protein folding; united-residue representation of a polypeptide chain In our continuing effort to surmount the multiple-minima problem (Scheraga, 1989;Kostrowicki & Scheraga, 1992;Olszewski et al., 1992) in computing the structure of a protein, we have developed a procedure that takes advantage of the fact that the protein core tends to consist of tightly packed nonpolar residues, with the polar ones located on the surface (Kauzmann, 1959;Rackovsky & Scheraga, 1977;Richards, 1977;Wertz & Scheraga, 1978;Chan & Dill, 1990;. Such an example of selforganization is reminiscent of early work by Onsager (1949) on the packing of tobacco mosaic virus particles and by Flory (1956) on the packing of rodlike polymers (including a-helices). These workers showed that, as the solution concentration increases, the system separates into two phases, an organized ordered one and a more dilute isotropic one. The self-organization of the moreconcentrated ordered phase arises solely from entropic effects; i.e., in a concentrated solution it is easier to pack rods in an ordered anisotropic array than in a disordered isotropic one. Of course, while entropy alone can account for this phenomenon, possible attractive interactions between the ordered rods can also contribute to this selforganization. We thus consider the possibility that, if the available conformational space of a polypeptide is confined, organized structure will be promoted.