2014
DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12052
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Entrenched Autocracy or New Democracy: Which Is Better for Business?

Abstract: Summary The recent downfall of autocracies worldwide, most notably in the Middle East, raises the question: Do the new, more democratic regimes hold a promise of creating a better economic and business environment? To answer this question, I analyze a new large‐scale firm‐level dataset for the post‐regime‐change time horizon of up to 20 years. The main finding is that during the post‐revolution time period the business environment is likely to worsen under the new politically unstable regimes that replace stab… Show more

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Cited by 7 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…Weede () argues that conflicts and revolutionary change affect property rights, individual freedom, and subsequently growth depending on various conditions. Nur‐tegin () finds that regime changes are subject to political turmoil that often reduce growth in the short term, but can lead to stronger growth in the long term especially if the level of democratization has increased. Cervellati and Sunde () show that peaceful transitions have a significant effect on growth compared to transitions that induce civil conflict.…”
Section: Related Literaturementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Weede () argues that conflicts and revolutionary change affect property rights, individual freedom, and subsequently growth depending on various conditions. Nur‐tegin () finds that regime changes are subject to political turmoil that often reduce growth in the short term, but can lead to stronger growth in the long term especially if the level of democratization has increased. Cervellati and Sunde () show that peaceful transitions have a significant effect on growth compared to transitions that induce civil conflict.…”
Section: Related Literaturementioning
confidence: 99%
“…A long literature beginning with Stigler's (1971) seminal contribution documents how actual regulation often favours market incumbents and the particular technology and practices they use. Problems of regulatory capture may be more severe in regimes without democratic accountability, but can be similarly prevalent in unstable democracies (Dorsch et al 2014;Nur-tegin 2014). Problems of regulatory capture may be more severe in regimes without democratic accountability, but can be similarly prevalent in unstable democracies (Dorsch et al 2014;Nur-tegin 2014).…”
Section: Positive Environmental Effects Of Economic Freedommentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Effectively enforced regulation can thus, when incumbent special interests affect the structure of it, reduce the speed and degree of technology transfers and the competitive pressure incumbents face to reduce their resource use. Problems of regulatory capture may be more severe in regimes without democratic accountability, but can be similarly prevalent in unstable democracies (Dorsch et al 2014;Nur-tegin 2014). Ideally, government could therefore improve the environmental performance of the economy through both direct control and through regulation and legislation, but standard public choice arguments imply that adverse consequences are more often likely to be the case.…”
Section: Positive Environmental Effects Of Economic Freedommentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Second, I drop GTF (global technology frontier growth), since including it shaves several years of the sample. Third, although democracy may indirectly enhance growth through stabilizing polities and institutions (Feng ), I control for Ln(regime duration + 1) (RDU), using Polity IV data: Political instability likely affects growth particularly through affecting the investment climate (Alesina et al ; Nur‐tegin ). Hence, the baseline model is: EGRi,t=β0+βPIPIi,t5+βGDPGDPi,t5+βPOPPOPi,t5+βRDURDUi,t5+βEFREFRi,t5+true()βREGjREGj,i,t5+true()βDECkDECk,i,t5+0.25emεi,t…”
Section: Testing Additional Implications and Alternative Explanationsmentioning
confidence: 99%