2020
DOI: 10.1101/2020.04.20.20073437
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Estimated inequities in COVID-19 infection fatality rates by ethnicity for Aotearoa New Zealand

Abstract: There is limited evidence as to how COVID-19 infection fatality rates (IFR) may vary by ethnicity. We combine demographic and health data for ethnic groupings in Aotearoa New Zealand with international data on IFR for different age groups to estimate inequities in IFR by ethnicity. We find that, if age is the dominant factor determining IFR, estimated IFR for Māori is around 50% higher than non-Māori. If underlying health conditions are more important than age per se, then estimated IFR for Māori is more than … Show more

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Cited by 59 publications
(77 citation statements)
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“…This is comparable to our results (although changes in the infection fatality rate are not identical to changes in odds, they are close at small probabilities). These differences in age-specific risk are broadly consistent with earlier estimates of inequities in the COVID-19 infection fatality rate 6 . Furthermore, Māori and Pacific people are more likely to have underlying health conditions, which puts them at even higher risk of hospitalisation.…”
Section: Risk Of Fatalitysupporting
confidence: 88%
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“…This is comparable to our results (although changes in the infection fatality rate are not identical to changes in odds, they are close at small probabilities). These differences in age-specific risk are broadly consistent with earlier estimates of inequities in the COVID-19 infection fatality rate 6 . Furthermore, Māori and Pacific people are more likely to have underlying health conditions, which puts them at even higher risk of hospitalisation.…”
Section: Risk Of Fatalitysupporting
confidence: 88%
“…During the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic, the rate of infection for Māori was twice that of Pākehā, with increased severity 7 . Our recent research estimated similar inequities would occur in the infection fatality rate for COVID-19 6 . New Zealand's effective public health response to the pandemic has so far limited the number of COVID-19 fatalities to 25 8 , which corresponds to a fatality rate of 5 deaths per million people.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 68%
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“…This is probably due to reduced healthcare access for vulnerable groups [29]. For influenza, ethnic minorities have the highest estimated fatality rate, most likely due to their social determinants of health, social inequalities and reduced access to health care, especially in rural areas [30,31].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The mortality impact of COVID-19 is higher than many other disease [2]. The standardized metrics such as disability adjusted life years (DALY) and years lost due to disability (YLD) are suggested to infer infection fatality by age [3].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%