Estimates of the Regional Distribution of Sea Level Rise over the 1950–2000 Period

Church, John A.; White, Neil J.; Coleman, Richard; Lambeck, Kurt; Mitrovica, J. X.

doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<2609:eotrdo>2.0.co;2

Cited by 560 publications

(615 citation statements)

References 46 publications

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“…We conclude that the IPO is well described by SODA and it is not only a feature at the sea surface but extends through the upper 200-300 m to thermocline depths across the Pacific Ocean and possibly the eastern South Indian Ocean. We have also shown that SODA reproduces well the low-frequency (decadal) variability of SSHA observed in the reconstructed (RecSSHA) data set from Church et al [2004] (updated for the period 1950-2009). Both data sets describe similar decadal scale SSHA patterns and time signatures, and more specifically that are highly correlated with the large scale IPOalthough we caveat that the RecSSHA relies on tide gauge records prior to 1993 and is conditioned on satellite information since 1993.…”

Section: Summary and Discussionsupporting

confidence: 59%

“…Our analysis shows that regional sea level from SODA is clearly There appears to be a meridional asymmetry in the dynamic connection between the tropical Pacific Ocean and the Indian Ocean apparently as a response to changes in the large scale evolution of the IPO. The asymmetry is seen in Figure 2, the lagged correlation of sea level at Midway with SodSSHA, and in Figure 10 EOF1 (1993EOF1 ( -2007 of SSHA from SODA (SodSSHA), and EOF1 of the (c) reconstructed SSHA as outlined by Church et al [2004] (RecSSHA, 1950-2007, and (d) SSHA from altimeter data (AltSSHA, 1993(AltSSHA, -2007. (e and f) The principal components (PCs) of the modes and the IPO index.…”

Section: Summary and Discussionmentioning

confidence: 96%

“…Sea surface height (SSH and its anomalies SSHA) is an important geophysical field in this study and we have used three estimates from different sources: steric SSHA from SODA (SodSSHA), reconstructed SSHA from Church et al [2004] (RecSSHA), and SSHA from TOPEX/Poseidon satellite-altimeter data (AltSSHA).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Here we evaluate the decadal ocean climate variability described by SODA 2.2.4 against long record sea level observations from tide gauges (otherwise excluded, and therefore independent, from the reanalysis products) at two key locations. We also evaluate SODA in the Indo-Pacific using reconstructed sea-surface heights from Church et al [2004], as well as sea surface heights from altimeter data for understanding decadal ocean climate variability and change.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Evaluating SODA for Indo-Pacific Ocean decadal climate variability studies

Vargas-Hernández

Wijffels

Meyers

et al. 2014

J. Geophys. Res. Oceans

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Estimates of changes in upper ocean temperature, heat content, and sea level are dependent on the coverage of subsurface observations in space and time. Historically, these data are sparse, which has limited our understanding of ocean climate variability and change mechanisms. Ocean state estimates, which effectively represent a model synthesis and integration of the available observations, including internal observations in the ocean and surface forcing, help to address the inhomogeneity of sparse observations in space and time. Here we evaluate the representativeness of ocean state estimates from the Simple Ocean Data Assimilation Version 2.2.4 (SODA) data for studying Indo-Pacific Ocean decadal temperature and sea level variability over the period . The SODA data are evaluated against independent sea level anomalies from long-record tide gauges at Midway Island and Fremantle, reconstructed sea surface height anomalies, and sea surface height anomalies from TOPEX/Poseidon satellite altimeter observations at the decadal time scale. This study demonstrates that SODA captures the characteristic Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) over the upper 200 m, and accurately represents these decadal changes against the independent observations. The SODA-product shows a meridional asymmetry of patterns that connect the western tropical Pacific and the Indian Ocean, apparently in relation to IPO changes. Regional sea level at the Midway Island and Fremantle tide gauges confirm this decadal connection and the relationship with the IPO. We concluded that SODA is potentially a useful tool to examine ocean decadal climate variability across the Indo-Pacific Ocean.

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Section: Summary and Discussionsupporting

confidence: 59%

Section: Summary and Discussionmentioning

confidence: 96%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Evaluating SODA for Indo-Pacific Ocean decadal climate variability studies

Vargas-Hernández

Wijffels

Meyers

et al. 2014

J. Geophys. Res. Oceans

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“…Sea level height data came from the Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship of Australia's Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) and the Arctic and Ecosystems (ACE) Cooperative Research Centre (CRC) as a combination of data from various satellites (http://www.cmar.csiro.au/sealevel/sl_data_ cmar.html). The sea level data are monthly averages on a 18 3 18 grid applied with an inverse barometer correction, seasonal (annual and semiannual) signal removal, and glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) correction (Church et al 2004). NOAA Extended Reconstructed SST, version 3b (ERSST.v3b), data with a resolution 28 3 28 during the period of 1854-2014 were also used.…”

Section: B Data Sourcesmentioning

confidence: 99%

The 2011 Great Flood in Thailand: Climate Diagnostics and Implications from Climate Change

2015

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Severe flooding occurred in Thailand during the 2011 summer season, which resulted in more than 800 deaths and affected 13.6 million people. The unprecedented nature of this flood in the Chao Phraya River basin (CPRB) was examined and compared with historical flood years. Climate diagnostics were conducted to understand the meteorological conditions and climate forcing that led to the magnitude and duration of this flood. Neither the monsoon rainfall nor the tropical cyclone frequency anomalies alone was sufficient to cause the 2011 flooding event. Instead, a series of abnormal conditions collectively contributed to the intensity of the 2011 flood: anomalously high rainfall in the premonsoon season, especially during March; record-high soil moisture content throughout the year; elevated sea level height in the Gulf of Thailand, which constrained drainage; and other water management factors. In the context of climate change, the substantially increased premonsoon rainfall in CPRB after 1980 and the continual sea level rise in the river outlet have both played a role. The rainfall increase is associated with a strengthening of the premonsoon northeasterly winds that come from East Asia. Attribution analysis using phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project historical experiments pointed to anthropogenic greenhouse gases as the main external climate forcing leading to the rainfall increase. Together, these findings suggest increasing odds for potential flooding of similar intensity to that of the 2011 flood.

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Sea level rise and its coastal impacts

2014

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Global warming in response to accumulation of human-induced greenhouse gases inside the atmosphere has already caused several visible consequences, among them increase of the Earth's mean temperature and ocean heat content, melting of glaciers, and loss of ice from the Greenland and Antarctica ice sheets. Ocean warming and land ice melt in turn are causing sea level to rise. Sea level rise and its impacts on coastal zones have become a question of growing interest in the scientific community, as well as in the media and public. In this review paper, we summarize the most up-to-date knowledge about sea level rise and its causes, highlighting the regional variability that superimposes the global mean rise. We also present sea level projections for the 21st century under different warming scenarios. We next address the issue of the sea level rise impacts. We question whether there is already observational evidence of coastal impacts of sea level rise and highlight the fact that results differ from one location to another. This suggests that the response of coastal systems to sea level rise is highly dependent on local natural and human settings. We finally show that in spite of remaining uncertainties about future sea levels and related impacts, it becomes possible to provide preliminary assessment of regional impacts of sea level rise.

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Estimates of the Regional Distribution of Sea Level Rise over the 1950–2000 Period

Cited by 560 publications

References 46 publications

Evaluating SODA for Indo-Pacific Ocean decadal climate variability studies

Evaluating SODA for Indo-Pacific Ocean decadal climate variability studies

The 2011 Great Flood in Thailand: Climate Diagnostics and Implications from Climate Change

Sea level rise and its coastal impacts

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