11th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations (ATIO) Conference 2011
DOI: 10.2514/6.2011-6806
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Estimation of the Market Potential for Supersonic Airliners via Analysis of the Global Premium Ticket Market

Abstract: This study assesses the global market potential for supersonic airline transportation by evaluating worldwide premium ticket sales figures based on so-called marketing information data tapes (MIDTs). Origin-destination demand data were collected from an internet database and subjected to various processings and additions. After discussing factors of influence regarding market response, the final data files are used to estimate possible future demand for variously sized supersonic airliners. Nomenclature LOS = … Show more

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Cited by 30 publications
(20 citation statements)
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“…Although there is a study that shows there is still a market for small supersonic commercial aircraft even with the current over-land restrictions, 5 some will argue today that the economic model of the Concorde cannot work (that is, flying primarily over large oceans). Studies have shown that a more viable market exists for supersonic travel if that travel can be conducted over land with today's technologies (for example, higher-efficiency engines, reduced drag airframe design, et cetera.).…”
Section: A Motivationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Although there is a study that shows there is still a market for small supersonic commercial aircraft even with the current over-land restrictions, 5 some will argue today that the economic model of the Concorde cannot work (that is, flying primarily over large oceans). Studies have shown that a more viable market exists for supersonic travel if that travel can be conducted over land with today's technologies (for example, higher-efficiency engines, reduced drag airframe design, et cetera.).…”
Section: A Motivationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Additionally, overland flight could potentially happen at speeds up to about Mach 1.2 that prevent the sonic boom from reaching the ground, retaining some of the speed advantage [4,5] f . There might even be a substantial market for small supersonic airplanes with conventional "high-boom" design [6][7][8]. Taken all together, this approach implies a combination of lower technological and regulatory risk with a more limited market.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This sets rather optimistic expectations for the potential of the commercial supersonic operations, having the competitive advantage of significantly reducing the flight time. Small supersonic passenger aircraft with low development and expenditure risks which will be able to carry from 15 to 25 passengers could facilitate the financial viability of the project, while achieving a promising market share [4]. Potential customers could be government agencies, big corporations and individuals who can already afford the costs of operating business jets.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%